000
FNAK79 PAFG 191349
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 119 McDonald...Yukon Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
549 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A thermal low pressure trough north of the fire will move south over
the fire on Thu, then remain over the fire into Fri and move south
of the fire on the weekend. Today will be slightly warmer and drier
than Tuesday was. Thu will be cooler and more humid, then there will
be warming and drying trend from Fri into the weekend.
Isolated thunderstorms this morning will increase in occurrence to
widely scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening today.
Small hail and gusty winds will accompany thunderstorms this
afternoon/evening.  Thu will see isolated thunderstorms through the day
with widely scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
Fri will have just isolated thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of dense smoke.
                    Isolated thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered rain
                    showers and widely scattered thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon. Small hail and gusty winds with thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of dense smoke.
                    Scattered showers and widely scattered thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then isolated rain showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 mph becoming light after midnight.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 6 mph.
Inversion setup.....Midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40 percent) in the morning then mostly cloudy
                    (70 percent) in the afternoon. Areas of smoke.
                    Scattered rain showers. Isolated afternoon and evening
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light becoming Northeast 5 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 5 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Areas of
smoke. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke in the evening. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416117.10/AFG
.DELDT 06/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0