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FNAK79 PAFG 241309
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
509 AM AKDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on June 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions are expected today with mainly light winds
from the north. Temperatures are expected to reach the low 80s
with min RHs around 30%. An isolated storm is possible this
afternoon and evening as the thermal trough moves north over the
fire. Temperatures will increase through the week with mid to
upper 80s likely by Wednesday. Min RHs will be trending down each
day with values around 20% by Thursday. Thursday and Friday look
to be very active with thunderstorms and the chance for widely
scattered or even scattered thunderstorms. Winds will also be
increasing slightly on Thursday with sustained winds around 10 mph
resulting in near red flag conditions.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated showers
                    early in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the day. Scattered showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......North-northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph becoming light and
                    variable.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Inversion setup.....11 PM AKDT.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms through the day.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 3 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds around 7 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BIANCO
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.15/AFG
.DELDT 06/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0