Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
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107 FNUS71 KAKQ 181334 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for Chippokes Road Wildfire...VA. DOF National Weather Service Wakefield VA 934 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 EDT on June 18. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... Hot and dry conditions are expected to persist for the rest of this week. Min RH values will be around 37-39 percent this afternoon, with decent overnight recoveries around 93 percent. Winds will generally remain light out of the east/southeast, though a few typical, light afternoon breezes will be possible as we heat up. The next chance of rain doesn`t look to arrive until potentially the latter half of the weekend. Temperatures will warm into the upper 90s by the end of the week. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 90. Min humidity........39 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east/southeasterly 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (48300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. ADI.................15 early in the morning increasing to 64 in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........20 12 12 13 14 12 9 7 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............80 83 85 87 88 89 89 88 RH..............61 55 50 46 44 41 40 40 20 FT wind dir..S S SE SE E E E E 20 FT wind spd..3 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 8 13 13 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.8 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE E E E E SE Transp wind spd.6 3 5 8 10 10 10 10 LVORI...........2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............17 15 26 46 62 64 61 58 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..12 10 17 31 47 48 46 43 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 64. Max humidity........93 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeasterly winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph decreasing to around 2 mph after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Good (30400 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (800 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............4. ADI.................43 early in the evening decreasing to 1 late in the night. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........6 6 5 6 7 9 13 18 22 30 38 46 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............86 84 81 77 74 72 71 70 69 68 67 65 RH..............43 47 54 62 69 73 76 78 81 84 87 93 20 FT wind dir..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 20 FT wind gust.12 12 11 8 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 2.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 12 10 9 7 5 3 2 2 LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 ADI.............43 7 5 5 5 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..30 18 6 6 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .JUNETEENTH... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 88. Min humidity........45 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 8 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (29900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. ADI.................2 to 41. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........47 49 40 33 30 27 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............66 70 77 83 86 88 RH..............93 87 67 53 46 45 20 ft wind......SE 1 SE 1 SE 2 E 4 E 5 E 6 20 ft wind gust.2 2 3 6 8 11 Mix hgt (ft)....600 1100 2800 4000 4600 4400 Transport wind..SE 3 S 8 SE 6 E 5 E 6 E 7 LVORI...........7 5 3 2 1 1 ADI.............2 11 21 23 33 37 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 7 14 16 23 28 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90. Light winds. .FRIDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Light winds. .SATURDAY... Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the upper 90s. Light winds. $$ Forecaster...PEGRAM Requested by...Heather Dowling Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416342.0/AKQ .DELDT 06/18/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL heather.dowling@dof.virginia.gov