Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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607
FNAK52 PAFC 210109 AAA
FWFALU

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
509 PM AKDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Through the weekend, a general warming and drying trend as well
as continued potential for afternoon and evening thunderstorms.
The most widespread and heaviest precipitation is expected this
afternoon and evening, as showers and thunderstorms move east to
west across much of Southwest Alaska. Scattered thunderstorms and
showers are also expected tomorrow and Saturday afternoon,
initiating in Middle Kuskokwim Valley and Western Alaska Range
before moving south into Greater Bristol Bay. Rain chances
diminish by the weekend, with lower forecast confidence in
thunderstorm potential.


AKZ153-211645-
MIDDLE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...ANIAK...SLEETMUTE
509 PM AKDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  100          70           60           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   48 (+3)      56-64 (+2)   51           57-67
RH % (24H TREND)   93 (+4)      56-75 (+10)  84-91        43-66
20FTWND(MPH)       N 1-9        NW 3-10      NW 6-13      NW 9-16
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4488                      7141
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             N 12                      N 15
CWR                90           40           30           10
LAL                2            2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               51561                     102080

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  90           60           60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   51 (+4)      70 (0)       53           66-73
RH % (24H TREND)   93 (0)       49-58 (+8)   89           40-51
20FTWND(MPH)       N 2-8        NW 2-9       NW 5-11      N 10-15
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4581                      7536
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             N 10                      N 16
CWR                90           40           10           10
LAL                2            3            3            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               48235                     116433

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ155-211645-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
INCLUDING...BETHEL...NUNIVAK ISLAND
509 PM AKDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  90           60           60           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   51 (0)       68 (+2)      50           68
RH % (24H TREND)   95 (+5)      55-63 (+9)   91           53
20FTWND(MPH)       N 4-11       NW 3-12      NW 6-14      NW 5-13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5132                      7323
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             N 10                      N 14
CWR                70           10           10           0
LAL                2            2            2            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               54096                     90948

REMARKS...Chance for wetting thunderstorms to reach Bethel and
southward this evening.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         SHWRS        NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            20           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   48 (0)       59 (+1)      45           58
RH % (24H TREND)   91 (0)       65-75 (+1)   94           58-70
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 6-13      NW 10-16     NW 15-19     NW 14-19
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              2601                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             NW 17                     NW 16
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               38022                     43335

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ162-211645-
GREATER BRISTOL BAY-
INCLUDING...KING SALMON...DILLINGHAM...NAKNEK...PILOT POINT
509 PM AKDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  80           60           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   45 (0)       59-66 (+6)   52           62-70
RH % (24H TREND)   90 (0)       50-63 (-4)   89           48-60
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 4-14      NW 4-8       NW 5-12      NW 7-15
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5750                      9005
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             N 10                      N 15
CWR                40           10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               57374                     117283

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           40           50           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   46 (0)       59-66 (+5)   50           60-70
RH % (24H TREND)   93 (0)       47-70 (-4)   86-94        49-66
20FTWND(MPH)       N 3-11       NW 4-13      W 8-15       NW 7-16
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5892                      7508
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             NW 13                     NW 15
CWR                40           0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               59682                     107520

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ163-211645-
WESTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...LAKE CLARK NATIONAL PARK AND PRESERVE
509 PM AKDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                   TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        SHWRS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           60           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   48 (+5)      69 (+6)      52           67-73
RH % (24H TREND)   88 (-11)     38-52 (-6)   86           45-52
20FTWND(MPH)       S 4-9        NW 3-9       NW 4-10      NW 3-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5209                      6244
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             N  9                      N 13
CWR                10           0            10           30
LAL                2            1            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               49383                     103054

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$