045
FXUS64 KAMA 252331
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
631 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 158 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

- Warm temperatures, dry conditions, and light winds continue to
  be the story for the forecast.

- Brief cool down dropping highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s with a
  cold front on Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 158 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Strong well amplified high pressure will continue over the Four
Corners and take a slight positive tilt this evening, before
broadening across the southwest CONUS by Friday. The overall story
of this setup is that we`ll remain in the 80s with winds 5-15 mph
out the south and dry through Thursday night. Given the recovery
from the previous cold front, and increased night time
radiational cooling, our overnight lows are now right around
normal in the lower to mid 50s.

Weber

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 158 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

High pressure continues to dominate the extended. However, we do
have a weak frontal system that`s expected to clip the Panhandles
on Tuesday. Prior to that front it looks like carbon copy days
with highs in the 80s and lows in the 50s. Sunday into early next
week an upper level trough will move across the northern CONUS and
will only start to deepen and amplify after it crosses the
Rockies. The focus of the colder airmass will be over the Great
Lakes Region, but there will be enough of an airmass change to
clip the Panhandles and keep our highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s
on Tuesday. This system will rapidly exit mid next week and we`ll
once again be replaced by another area of high pressure leading to
temperature`s going back up.

Weber

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

For the 00Z TAFs, VFR conditions are forecast to prevail at KGUY,
KDHT, and KAMA through late Thursday afternoon.

02

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                55  87  55  87 /   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  51  84  51  85 /   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              50  85  52  85 /   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  55  90  56  90 /   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              53  89  53  88 /   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  53  86  53  87 /   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               54  84  55  86 /   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 50  85  51  85 /   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  50  85  49  85 /   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                53  89  54  88 /   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                53  84  52  85 /   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   53  85  54  86 /   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                54  84  54  87 /   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              54  85  55  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...89
LONG TERM....89
AVIATION...02