Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 230838
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
438 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

...Rain chances return late tonight into Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...Cloud cover will decrease today, as low pressure
moves away from the Detroit area. A north to northeast breeze
will be somewhat gusty today, and humidity values will be much
lower than yesterday. Clouds increase again tonight, and showers
are possible very late tonight, into Tuesday evening. The rain is
not expected to be particularly heavy. Northeast to east winds
will occur Tuesday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-232200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
438 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (356).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (174).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.15 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-232200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
438 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 11 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (427).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter...except 22 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (197).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.16 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-232200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
438 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (361).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (200).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.15 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-232200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
438 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (345).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (170).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.17 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-232200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
438 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (411).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (137).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.19 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ