Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
398 FNUS53 KAPX 212003 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 403 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 ...Rain and Storms Sunday into Sunday Night... .DISCUSSION... Stretch of warm weather ends tonight...as cold front plows into the region. Showers and storms move in tonight, hanging out into Sunday night until the front moves on out. Cooling Sunday behind the front...greatest potential for warmer temps in the 70s/near 80 in the Saginaw Bay region...but still a bit more humid to preclude afternoon RH concerns. Some spotty areas of a half inch to an inch of rain possible over parts of the area Sunday into Sunday night. SW winds Sunday ahead of the front switch to N behind the front...increasing to 10-15mph, gusting 15-20mph at times Sunday night into Monday...strongest over NW Lower. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-220815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 403 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 75-80 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the south after midnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers after 1200. Patchy fog after 1200. Max Temperature.....71-76...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........56-61 percent...except 73-78 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (164). Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.44 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until 2400. Rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (100). Mixing Height.......800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.35 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....65-70. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except 1 degree cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........45-50 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 25 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (428). Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-220815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 403 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....57-62...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (25). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 11 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 13 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (196). Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.32 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until 2400. Rain showers until 2400, then chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....51-56...except 58-63 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (63). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 1.15 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....65-70...except 57-62 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........56-61 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (431). Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . $$ MIZ020-025>027-220815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 403 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 69-74 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......19 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 13 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (14). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers after 1200. Patchy fog after 1200. Max Temperature.....68-73. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........63-68 percent. 24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter...except 21 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (181). Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.22- 0.59 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until 2400. Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....48-53...except 56-61 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 81-86 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (135). Mixing Height.......900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.30 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....65-70...except 57-62 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........49-54 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 17 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (432). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-220815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 403 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........77-82 percent. 24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (16). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers after 1200. Patchy fog after 1200. Max Temperature.....70-75. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 72-77 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter...except 24 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (187). Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.20- 0.56 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until 2400. Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 23 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (111). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.44 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....66-71. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except 1 degree warmer near the coast. Min Humidity........49-54 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 20 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (447). Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-220815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 403 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Min Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of rain showers until 1200, then rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....75-80. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 13 mph. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (236). Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.28 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until 2400. Rain showers likely until 2400, then chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (69). Mixing Height.......800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.23- 1.02 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....67-72. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 18 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (491). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . $$ .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FEF