Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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963
FNUS53 KAPX 251856
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
256 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

...Light Showers Wednesday; Dryer Weather Until the Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...

Westerly winds around 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph will decrease
through the evening and become light (up to 5 mph) while turning
North-northwesterly for tonight. There is a potential that some
patchy fog could develop tonight, but this is not expected to be
anything significant with light winds persisting. Clouds will
increase in coverage Wednesday as light showers and thunderstorms
will be possible, especially across northeast lower. Temperatures
look to be in the high 60s to low 70s across much of the area,
with the exception of areas closer to Saginaw Bay reaching the
upper 70s, for Wednesday. No RH concerns are anticipated over the
next few days.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-260815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
256 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (439).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (541).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-260815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
256 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler...except 11 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (366).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (592).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-260815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
256 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 8 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (416).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (406).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-260815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
256 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (524).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (460).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-260815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
256 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (613).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (584).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

NSC