Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
640 FNUS53 KAPX 201959 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 359 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 ...Showers/Storms Return Sunday... .DISCUSSION... A few showers and storms this afternoon...likely to diminish tonight behind a front. Pleasant Saturday...warm and a little dry again, with RHs around or under 40 percent especially over interior areas. Winds westerly gusting up toward 10-15mph at times...with lake breeze development expected. Winds turn more south/southwesterly Sunday ahead of a more potent front...and a bit more potent, sustained 10-15mph gusting up close to 20mph, especially downwind of the lakes as winds turn NW to N in the wake of the front Sunday afternoon and evening. Expecting a decent rain with this front...some potential for 6-hr totals of a half inch to an inch, particularly Sunday afternoon/night. Temps to return to more seasonable levels Sunday into next week. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-210815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 359 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Isolated rain showers. Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....58-63. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (28). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 52-57 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (327). Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Max Humidity........87-92 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 13 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (16). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........54-59 percent...except 68-73 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (266). Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.27- 0.53 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-210815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 359 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain showers. Min Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (26). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the southwest around 6 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Isolated rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....80-85...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 1 degree cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (393). Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (22). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 1 degree warmer near the coast. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 13 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (281). Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.19- 0.35 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-210815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 359 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms until 2400. Min Temperature.....54-59...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (26). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........40-45 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (278). Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....55-60...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 70-75 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (16). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....72-77...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (262). Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the north around 15 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.43- 0.64 in. $$ MIZ031>033-210815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 359 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms until 2400. Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (26). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until 1200. Max Temperature.....80-85...except 72-77 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (325). Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....55-60. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........82-87 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (20). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........62-67 percent...except 71-76 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (246). Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the north around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.55- 0.68 in. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-210815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 359 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 2400. Isolated rain showers. Patchy fog after 2400. Min Temperature.....55-60. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (29). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around 6 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of fog until 1200. Max Temperature.....82-87. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (514). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....55-60. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (16). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the southeast around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....76-81. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........52-57 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 13 mph. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (280). Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.66 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FEF