Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
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489 FXUS64 KBMX 131130 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 630 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 325 AM CDT THU JUN 13 2024 A weak mid level trough will continue southeastward today, across the Florida panhandle extending northeastward to the Atlantic coast. Surface high pressure continues to stretch from the Mid Atlantic through the Lower Mississippi Valley. A weak inverted surface trough near the Georgia state line this morning will shift slightly westward today, and be the focus for a few showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. However, most of the area will remain rainfree. Highs will be in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Upper level ridging begins to build toward the area tonight with low and mid level temperatures increasing. This will be reflected in overnight lows remaining in the mid 60s to lower 70s. As the upper level ridge moves across the Southern Plains, the airmass over Central Alabama will continue to warm, with noticeably warmer temperatures Friday. Highs will be in the mid to upper 90s, with heat indices above 100F for many locations. 14 && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 325 AM CDT THU JUN 13 2024 A hot weekend is in store for Central Alabama, with near record highs through Sunday. A 592 dm ridge will be parked over the southern states over the weekend. With light surface winds and mostly sunny skies, temperatures will top out in the mid to upper 90s both days. A few spots may touch 100F on Saturday. Afternoon dew points in the upper 60s will yield heat index values up to 105F Saturday and 100-103F Sunday. If trends hold, a Heat Advisory may be considered for Saturday. With lows Friday night through Sunday night remaining in the low to mid 70s, little relief will be provided before temperatures climb again the next day. This will require more caution than usual for heat-sensitive group or those with prolonged outdoor activities over the weekend. There is a chance for some thunderstorm activity Sunday afternoon, currently forecast over southern and eastern counties. Each afternoon from Monday through Wednesday will feature area-wide chances for thunderstorm activity. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s. 12 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 627 AM CDT THU JUN 13 2024 Localized light fog will continue to improve quickly this morning, likely before 12Z, with prevailing VFR conditions expected thereafter. Winds remain light and variable through the period. A few showers or storms are possible this afternoon across the east, but chances are too low to include at any terminal. Any activity will diminish quickly this evening. 14 && .FIRE WEATHER... There is a slight chance for a few showers or storms across eastern Alabama this afternoon, with no rain currently forecast for Friday and Saturday. 20-foot winds should average less than 7 mph with directional variability through the weekend. Afternoon minimum RHs are expected to remain above critical thresholds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 91 67 95 69 / 20 0 0 0 Anniston 91 69 95 71 / 20 0 0 0 Birmingham 93 69 96 73 / 10 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 93 68 97 72 / 10 0 0 0 Calera 93 70 96 73 / 10 0 0 0 Auburn 90 72 95 74 / 20 10 0 0 Montgomery 93 70 97 73 / 20 10 0 0 Troy 93 70 97 72 / 20 10 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...14 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...14