355
FXUS64 KBMX 191736
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1236 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024

Will continue to advertise dry and seasonably warm conditions
across central Alabama in the short term. Upper level ridge will
remain in place along the east coast through at least Thursday.
Easterly low level flow will actually help to keep Gulf moisture
cut off, with rain free conditions. There`s quite a bit of cirrus
along the western periphery of the ridge, which will filter the
sun a bit at times. That and a steady east wind during the day
will help to keep the heat from becoming too oppressive.

/61/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024

The center of a 596 dam ridge at 500 mb will be centered over
Tennessee on Friday on its southwestward course from the Mid-
Atlantic states. The proximity of the ridge and high heights along
with a weakening of cooler easterly flow, should correspond with a
nudge upward in temperatures. Much of the area should see mid 90s
on Friday and Saturday with a couple of spots possibly reaching
the upper 90s. On Sunday the ridge should retreat westward and
amplify, resulting in the development of a trough over the eastern
CONUS. As this occurs, westerly low-level flow will promote
similar temperatures despite height falls.

As enhanced moisture arrives with southeasterly flow on Saturday
and remains in place on Sunday, isolated or scattered showers and
storms will return for areas mainly along and south of Interstate
20. Rain chances could continue to increase on Monday and Tuesday
as height falls continue across the region.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through this cycle. Scattered to
broken clouds are expected this afternoon with thicker clouds
south in the mid to upper levels. Expect scattered clouds
overnight followed by few to scattered clouds tomorrow with more
clouds to the southwest. There could be a passing shower or storm
this afternoon southwest but this potential is away from any
terminal.

05

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Rain-free conditions will persist through Friday as easterly
winds bring drier air to the region. Afternoon RH values should
range from 35 to 45 percent range each day through Friday.
Easterly 20 ft winds of 7 to 12 mph are expected today, and a
gradual decrease in speeds should follow into Thursday and Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     68  93  66  93 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    69  92  67  93 /   0   0   0  10
Birmingham  72  94  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  72  94  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      71  93  69  94 /   0   0   0  10
Auburn      69  91  69  91 /   0   0   0  10
Montgomery  70  93  70  94 /   0  10   0  10
Troy        69  92  68  93 /   0  10   0  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...02
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...05