708
FNUS74 KBMX 271038
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Wolf Creek...NPS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
538 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 CDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

An area of light to moderate rainfall is expected to move over
Little River Canyon through this morning, adding greatly needed ground
moisture in the short-term. Additional scattered showers and
storms are possible through the rest of the afternoon hours today.
RH values will also be much higher this afternoon than what has
been observed over the past few days. 20ft winds will be light
except within thunderstorms, with light easterly to southeasterly
transport winds.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
                    through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent increasing to 50 percent early in
                    the afternoon, then decreasing to 40 percent
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 17 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 22 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 15 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........93     93     86     86     79     72
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............30     30     30     30     50     40
Temp............70     73     75     79     83     83
RH..............100    93     87     77     65     65
20 FT wind......N 2    E 2    E 2    SE 2   SE 2   SE 3
20 FT wind gust.              5      6      6      5
20 FT wind dir..020    090    100    120    120    130
Mix hgt (ft)....200    800    1200   2500   3500   2700
Transport wind..E 5    E 6    E 6    E 7    E 6    NE 6
Dispersion idx..2      3      3      20     20     17
LVORI...........9      6      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....11 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........72     69     70     70     66     48
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............40     20     10     10     0      0
Temp............80     75     72     71     70     69
RH..............72     87     97     97     97     100
20 FT wind......SE 2   SE 2   E 2    E 2    E 2    E 2
20 FT wind gust.6      5                    4      5
20 FT wind dir..140    130    100    100    100    100
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   200    200    200    200    200
Transport wind..E 6    E 6    E 6    E 6    E 8    E 7
Dispersion idx..15     2      2      3      4      3
LVORI...........3      6      9      9      9      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon, then becoming
                    light late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph becoming 9 to 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 35 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 26 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........48     67     73     73     72     64
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............0      20     20     20     40     50
Temp............68     74     80     83     86     86
RH..............100    90     77     67     63     63
20 FT wind......E 2    SE 3   SE 5   SE 6   S 6    S 5
20 FT wind gust.6      6      8      8      10     8
20 FT wind dir..110    120    150    150    160    170
Mix hgt (ft)....200    900    1900   2900   3200   3400
Transport wind..E 7    SE 10  SE 12  SE 10  S 10   SE 10
Dispersion idx..3      7      8      33     34     36
LVORI...........9      5      3      3      1      2

$$
Forecaster...GGoggins
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416696.3/BMX
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0