713
FNUS74 KBMX 280939
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Wolf Creek...NPS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
439 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 CDT on June 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Looking at some lower clouds this morning and then partly cloudy skies
for the day. There will be a chance of scattered showers/storms
after 2 PM through 8 PM. Patchy fog or low clouds may develop again
overnight. Higher rain chances on Saturday. Minimum RH values
remain in the 50 to 60 percent range during the afternoons with
southeasterly 20 ft winds today become westerly Saturday, and
eventually northwesterly Sunday, but remaining light between 5 and
10 mph overall. Mixing heights this morning will be above 2000 feet
between 9 and 10 AM and remain through 8 PM.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Dispersion index....3.
LVORI...............9.

TIME (CDT)      5 AM
Sky (%).........51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10
Temp............69
RH..............100
20 FT wind......E 2
20 FT wind gust.7
20 FT wind dir..090
Mix hgt (ft)....300
Transport wind..SE 6
Dispersion idx..3
LVORI...........9

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 42 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 49 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    35 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........61     60     52     48     54     64
Weather cov.....PATCHY                      CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............10     0      10     10     30     40
Temp............68     73     80     83     86     88
RH..............100    97     77     67     61     55
20 FT wind......E 2    SE 3   SE 6   SE 7   SE 7   S 7
20 FT wind gust.7      8      10     11     12     11
20 FT wind dir..110    130    150    150    150    160
Mix hgt (ft)....200    1100   2300   3400   4300   4400
Transport wind..SE 6   SE 7   SE 12  S 13   S 13   S 12
Dispersion idx..3      3      8      53     49     45
LVORI...........9      9      3      3      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....33 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........64     46     41     46     49     65
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............40     20     10     10     10     10
Temp............87     79     75     73     72     72
RH..............57     77     94     97     100    97
20 FT wind......SE 7   SE 5   SE 2   S 2    S 2    S 2
20 FT wind gust.11     10     8      10     10     8
20 FT wind dir..150    150    150    170    170    180
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   200    200    200    300    200
Transport wind..S 10   S 10   S 8    S 7    S 8    S 7
Dispersion idx..33     2      2      3      4      3
LVORI...........1      4      8      8      9      9

$$
Forecaster...Aaron
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416696.4/BMX
.DELDT 06/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0