Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 271259
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Missouri Lakes Fire...Timberline Fire Protection District
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
659 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds should remain out of the west to northwest throughout
today, until thunderstorms move near the fire. Wind speeds should
be 12-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph. RH will be elevated today,
remaining above 30%. Expect a few showers and thunderstorms after
1400 with light rain and gusty winds, and then perhaps a stronger
round after 1900. Winds could gust out of the west-northwest to 40
mph with the strongest thunderstorms in the evening. The chance
of a wetting rain is 20 percent. Tonight, west winds will prevail
at around 10 mph, and RH will increase to near 70 percent by
sunrise.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 0900 until 1200, then
                    chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................12 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0900, then 2 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 0900.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good until 1100, then
                    very good until 1300, then excellent until
                    1500, then very good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  53  56  59  61  64  66  68  69  69  69
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............58  62  66  69  72  75  76  77  77  75  73
RH..............64  58  52  47  41  37  34  33  32  34  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  15  15  16  16  16  18  18  18
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14  24  37  73  102 136 156 173 148 138 108
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   G   VG  VG  E   E   VG  VG  VG

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0500, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
CWR.................14 percent decreasing to 4 percent overnight.
LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1900, then good until 2000,
                    then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  70  71  72  74  77  80  75  67  60  53  46
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............70  67  63  61  60  59  59  58  58  56  55  53
RH..............42  45  52  56  58  57  57  59  57  62  64  69
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  13  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  18  18  18  18  18  21  18  18  16
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..102 82  25  15  14  16  16  16  15  15  17  16
SmokeDispersion.VG  G   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 0700, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0800, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................9 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph late
                    in the morning then 25 mph late in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 0900.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800, then fair until 0900, then
                    good until 1000, then very good until 1100,
                    then excellent until 1700, then very good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  51  39  36  34  31  60  60  60  60  60  61
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............53  56  59  62  68  71  72  74  75  75  74  72
RH..............70  63  60  51  41  37  35  32  31  31  32  34
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   12  12  13  12  13  14  15  15  15  16  14
20 FT wind gust.15  18  18  21  18  21  22  24  24  24  25  22
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  15  45  86  120 158 198 207 217 226 176 131
SmokeDispersion.P   P   F   G   VG  E   E   E   E   E   E   VG

$$
Forecaster...Schlatter
Requested by...David Femmer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416805.0/BOU
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dfemmer@timberlinefire.com