Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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FNUS71 KBOX 201323
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Spot Forecast for Belchertown Fair Day 1...Belchertown Fire Department
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
923 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 EDT on September 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy skies today with northeast winds around 5-10 mph.
There is a chance (< 30%) for a stray shower in the late
afternoon-early evening timeframe. Similar conditions expected
Saturday with a mostly cloudy skies and a chance for light showers
(< 30%). Light northeast winds 5-10 mph.

.OUTLOOK...Sunday through Thursday...

High pressure builds back in for Sunday, decreasing cloud cover
and bringing generally dry weather into mid week. Another storm
system is expected to bring unsettled weather for later Wednesday
and Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of rain......17 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Max apparent temp...67.
Max apparent temp...67.
Max apparent temp...67.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds around 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 10 mph.
100 FT WIND.........
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......2.0.
Visibility..........9.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................33 to 34.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  76  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0
Chc of rain (%).10  10  20
Temp............67  67  66
RH..............78  75  78
Heat index (F)..67  67  66
Wind chill (F)..67  67  66
Aparnt tmp (F)..67  67  66
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.17  16  16
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.10  10  10
Surface wnd gst.17  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.3 2.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.16  16  16
100 ft wind.....
LVORI...........3   3   3
ADI.............34  33  33
Vrate kt-ft/1K..33  32  31
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...2.0 2.0 2.0
Visibility (sm).9   9   9

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy then
                    becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of rain......31 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Max apparent temp...65.
Max apparent temp...65.
Max apparent temp...65.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
100 FT WIND.........
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......2.5 increasing to 6.0.
Visibility..........9.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (24200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................28 decreasing to 7 to 15.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........75  75  57  50  56  61  56  54  58  64  75  77
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of rain (%).20  20  20  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  10  10
Temp............65  62  61  60  59  59  59  58  58  57  56  56
RH..............81  87  87  87  87  87  83  86  86  90  93  93
Heat index (F)..65  62  61  60  59  59  59  58  58  57  56  56
Wind chill (F)..65  62  61  60  59  59  59  58  58  57  56  56
Aparnt tmp (F)..65  62  61  60  59  59  59  58  58  57  56  56
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   8   8   9   8   9   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  17  15  14  14  14  10  10  10  10  12
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N
Surface wnd spd.9   8   8   8   8   9   8   9   8   8   8   8
Surface wnd gst.15  15  17  15  14  14  14  10  10  10  10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.15  14  13  12  10  9   9   9   8   8   8   8
100 ft wind.....
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   5   5   4   5   5   5   6   6
ADI.............28  15  11  10  9   8   8   8   7   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24  18  13  10  7   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 6.0
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    through early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of rain......29 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Max apparent temp...65.
Max apparent temp...65.
Max apparent temp...65.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
100 FT WIND.........
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......6.0 increasing to 8.0.
Visibility..........9.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (35700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................10 to 14 increasing to 20 to 25 late in the
                    morning, then increasing to 29 to 34 early
                    decreasing to 20 to 24 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  76  59  71  69  86  80  81  82  83  84  86
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of rain (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  30  30  20  20
Temp............56  56  57  59  61  62  64  65  64  63  62  61
RH..............93  93  90  90  87  78  78  70  67  70  70  72
Heat index (F)..56  56  57  59  61  62  64  65  64  63  62  61
Wind chill (F)..56  56  57  59  61  62  64  65  64  63  62  61
Aparnt tmp (F)..56  56  57  59  61  62  64  65  64  63  62  61
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  15  15  15  15  16  16  15  15  14
Surface wnd dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Surface wnd gst.12  13  13  15  15  15  15  16  16  15  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.6
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  13  13  14  14  15  15  14  13  12
100 ft wind.....
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............10  11  14  20  25  31  32  33  34  29  24  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   7   9   16  23  31  33  34  36  29  22  16
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9

$$
Forecaster...Mensch
Requested by...Adam M. Burdick
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2422781.0/BOX
.DELDT 09/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aburdick@belchertown.org