Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FNUS51 KCAR 202101
FWFCAR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northern and Eastern Maine
National Weather Service Caribou ME
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will gradually cross the area this afternoon into
the evening from north to south bringing an end to the heat and
humidity. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected especially across the Central Highlands to the Downeast
coast. Storms will have the potential to produce excessive cloud
to ground lightning and strong gusty winds. Winds will be
shifting NW as the front passes this afternoon. Tonight, we will
begin to dry out across the area with near to slightly above
normal temperatures tomorrow. Minimum RHs will fall into the
30-38% range tomorrow with light N-NW winds. There is a chance of
showers on Saturday with showers likely and perhaps some
thunderstorms on Sunday into Monday.


MEZ101-210800-
Quebec-Maine Borderlands-
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         None         None         Rain
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-20)     75 (-10)     52           79
RH % (24h trend)      80 (-6)      32 (-14)     84           37
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 10 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             6920                      7370
Transport wnd (kts)                NW  6                     SW  7
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  82910                     75930
Dispersion                         Very Good                 Good
CWR                   0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          4            5            5            4
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         <200

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ102-210800-
North Woods and St. John Valley-
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         Rain
Chance precip (%)     10           0            0            20
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-21)     76 (-10)     52           79
RH % (24h trend)      80 (-4)      32 (-15)     86           37
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0                                      1
Precip begin          6 PM                                   11 AM
Precip end            9 PM                                   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             7150                      7790
Transport wnd (kts)                NW  8                     SW  7
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  96750                     73490
Dispersion                         Very Good                 Good
CWR                                0            0
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          4            5            5            4
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         <200

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ103-210800-
Eastern Aroostook-
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Showers      None         None         Rain
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            20
Temp (24h trend)      55 (-20)     76 (-12)     54           79
RH % (24h trend)      78 (-2)      35 (-12)     80           41
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      NW  5        Lgt/Var      SW  5
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0                                      1
Precip begin          6 PM                                   11 AM
Precip end            7 PM                                   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             7070                      7610
Transport wnd (kts)                NW 11                     SW  7
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  101980                    70710
Dispersion                         Very Good                 Good
CWR                                0            0
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index          4            5            5            4
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         <200

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ105-210800-
Central Highlands-
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     20           10           30           40
Temp (24h trend)      58 (-15)     78 (-11)     57           76
RH % (24h trend)      80 (-6)      37 (-13)     88           49
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.01         0.04
Precip duration       2            0            1            2
Precip begin          6 PM         1 PM         2 AM         Continuing
Precip end            1 AM         2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             7410                      7470
Transport wnd (kts)                NW  4                     SW  5
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  49260                     43400
Dispersion                         Fair                      Fair
CWR                                                          20
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Haines Index          3            5            4            4
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         <200

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ106-210800-
Central Maine North of Bangor-
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     30           0            30           30
Temp (24h trend)      61 (-11)     80 (-13)     57           76
RH % (24h trend)      80 (-8)      34 (-13)     83           48
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                N  5                      Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration       2                         0            2
Precip begin          6 PM                      4 AM         Continuing
Precip end            6 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             7880                      7240
Transport wnd (kts)                N  6                      SW  6
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  77870                     50700
Dispersion                         Good                      Good
CWR                   20           0                         10
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Haines Index          3            5            4            4
KBDI                  <200         201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ108-210800-
Interior Downeast-
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     40           10           30           40
Temp (24h trend)      64 (-6)      83 (-14)     59           74
RH % (24h trend)      87 (-6)      33 (-15)     82           52
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.21         0.01         0.00         0.05
Precip duration       4            0            0            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   4 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             8110                      6670
Transport wnd (kts)                N  5                      S  5
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  69940                     54120
Dispersion                         Good                      Good
CWR                   90                                     20
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Haines Index          3            5            3            3
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ112-210800-
Coastal Downeast-
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     50           20           20           50
Temp (24h trend)      60 (-4)      81 (-13)     56           72
RH % (24h trend)      95 (0)       37 (-13)     89           56
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                N  5                      Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.25         0.01         0.00         0.07
Precip duration       4            0            0            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   4 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             8210                      6320
Transport wnd (kts)                N  6                      S  5
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  71590                     55870
Dispersion                         Good                      Good
CWR                   90                                     30
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Haines Index          3            4            4            3
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ113-210800-
Bangor Region-
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     60           10           30           50
Temp (24h trend)      64 (-7)      80 (-15)     60           75
RH % (24h trend)      89 (-3)      39 (-11)     88           60
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                N  5                      Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.31         0.00         0.03         0.09
Precip duration       4            1            0            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   3 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             7930                      6660
Transport wnd (kts)                N  4                      SW  4
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  32540                     34090
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Marginal
CWR                   100                       20           30
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         <200

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ114-210800-
Eastern Penobscot Bay Coast-
500 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     60           20           30           50
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-5)      81 (-13)     57           72
RH % (24h trend)      96 (+4)      40 (-16)     92           64
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                N  5                      Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  5
Precip amount         0.43         0.02         0.02         0.09
Precip duration       5            0            0            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             8180                      6410
Transport wnd (kts)                N  4                      S  3
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  39340                     24890
Dispersion                         Fair                      Marginal
CWR                   100                       20           30
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         <200

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Patchy
fog. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Patchy fog. Highs in the upper
60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. West winds around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$