Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
959 FNUS28 KWNS 142156 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0454 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z A broad trough over the western CONUS is expected to dominate the forecast for the period, with a strong mid-level jet across the northwest CONUS for the early part of the period. This strong jet will likely promote dry and breezy conditions on Days 3 and 4 (Sunday and Monday) across portions of the southwest CONUS. When combined with drying fuels in the region, 70% Critical probabilities have been maintained across portions of Arizona, Utah, Colorado, and New Mexico. Additionally, a secondary mid-level jet is expected to translate eastward near the California coast on Day 4, which may promote dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels in the California Central Valley. By Day 5 (Tuesday), the stronger mid-level flow translates to the northeast, and the surface flow in the region lessens accordingly. Some fire risk may occur across portions of the southern Rockies through the end of the period, though confidence in specific locations is not high enough to introduce any areas at the moment. ..Supinie.. 06/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$