Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
299 FNUS28 KWNS 092052 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0350 PM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z Upper ridging will build over the western and central U.S. through the week, as an upper-level cut-off low drifts over the Desert Southwest by Days 5-7 (Thursday-Saturday). Thereafter, upper-ridging will spread into the eastern CONUS as a broader mid-level trough overspreads the northern Rockies by the end of the period. The overall synoptic pattern will promote appreciable rainfall accumulations and/or higher RH for much of the CONUS east of the Rockies. However, prolonged dry and occasionally breezy conditions should persist across the Desert Southwest through the forecast period. As fuels continue to trend drier with time, the risk for at least Elevated-equivalent fire weather conditions should also increase over portions of the Colorado River Basin. This should especially be the case by next weekend as the passage of the mid-level cut-off low provides upper-level support for dry and windy conditions over the Southwest. Elsewhere, occasional rounds of dry and windy conditions are expected over the northern Rockies/High Plains through the forecast period. Given the potential for minimal rainfall accumulations over Montana and points westward, finer fuels could dry out enough to encourage Elevated fire weather conditions by sometime later this week. While multiple areas will need to be monitored for relatively more localized wildfire-spread potential, widespread Critical fire weather conditions do not currently appear imminent. ..Squitieri.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$