Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
732 ACUS48 KWNS 230843 SWOD48 SPC AC 230842 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Valid 261200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... Some severe potential may develop over parts of the South/Southeast on Day 4/Thu in relation to the potential tropical cyclone currently over the western Caribbean. Uncertainty in the evolution/track of this system precludes severe probabilities at this time. Beyond Day 4/Thu, increasing spread among forecast guidance and a somewhat anomalous mid/upper level pattern lends to low predictability. However, while uncertainty exists regarding the overall evolution of an eastern upper trough/cut-off cyclone, severe potential in general appears low given potential for widespread rainfall along with poor lapse rates/instability. ..Leitman.. 09/23/2024