525
FXUS63 KDDC 251711
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1211 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near normal temperatures can be expected across western Kansas
  through the upcoming weekend period. Highs each day will range
  from the upper 70s to near 85 degrees, with warmest
  temperatures in the west.

- Dry conditions can be expected over the next 7 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 309 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Synoptic scale upper ridging is developing across the entirety
of the Great Plains right now  and looks to become the dominant
feature driving the sensible weather for the many days to come
for our area of Kansas. The only dynamic systems will be the
cutoff low over the southern Mississippi valley and the
increasingly zonal strong upper westerlies across the northern
U.S. border.

Temperatures in the daytime will not steer far from the normal
highs for the last week of September. Normal typical highs for
Dodge City is 81 degrees. Through Monday the NBM highs average
the upper 70s to around 80 degrees in central Kansas, to the
low 80s in the far west and south. Lows overnight are forecast
around 50 degrees each morning under completely clear sky though
about Friday night or Saturday. Light easterly surface winds
each day this week will decouple to variable on the overnights.

Models and medium range ensemble means have continued to trend
away from and precipitation chances through the at least the
next 7 days. Week 2 is also dry with 40-50 percent chances for
drier and warmer than normal.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Light winds today will gradually shift to the southeast at less
than 10 knots between 21z Wednesday and 03z Thursday as a
trough of low pressure deepens over eastern Colorado. Moisture
will be limited across southwest Kansas over the next 24 hours,
so VFR conditions are expected.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Russell
AVIATION...Burgert