Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
382 FNUS73 KDLH 181948 FWSDLH Spot Forecast for Barnes Slash Burn...Wisconsin DNR National Weather Service Duluth MN 248 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on September 18. If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653. .DISCUSSION... Very warm temperatures are expected this afternoon as southerly flow continues ahead of an approaching low pressure system. Cloud cover will be increasing from the west this afternoon and evening as a cold front moves towards northwest Wisconsin. Shower activity currently observed near Brainerd, MN is not expected to impact the Barnes area this evening. However, shower and thunderstorms will be possible early Thursday morning around the 0400-0600 timeframe. A second round of stronger thunderstorms developing along the cold front will be moving through in the late afternoon on Thursday around 1800-2000. Expect gusty and erratic winds around any thunderstorms. Winds tomorrow will maintain a southerly component, gradually shifting to the west late Thursday night into Friday morning following the cold frontal passage. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 86. Min humidity........38 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 8 mph with gusts to around 19 mph. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 18 to 21 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (54600-77000 knot-ft). Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......PC PC MC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 Temp............85 86 84 RH..............39 38 41 20 FT wind dir..S S S 20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.19 19 19 Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 3.9 3.4 Transp wind dir.S S S Transp wind spd.21 20 18 Haines index....4 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/100077 66 55 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers late in the evening. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3 am. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................1 until 0400, then 2. Min temperature.....Around 64. Max humidity........73 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early in the evening then 20 mph late in the evening, then then 20 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am. Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 12 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4900-18400 knot-ft). Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 Temp............80 78 74 72 70 69 69 69 68 67 66 65 RH..............44 49 57 56 58 60 60 55 57 61 62 64 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 20 FT wind gust.18 16 16 16 16 18 16 16 16 16 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.15 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 15 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 SDspl kt-ft/100018 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. A few storms may be strong to severe. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................2 until 1000, then 1 until 1600, then 2 until 1700, then 4. Max temperature.....Around 83. Min humidity........55 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to around 22 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms through the day. Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South 14 to 23 mph increasing to 24 to 28 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5400-22300 knot-ft) increasing to excellent (84500-95700 knot-ft). Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.20 inches. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC Chc of pcpn (%).30 40 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 40 LAL.............2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 Temp............65 65 67 69 73 75 77 80 81 81 83 81 RH..............66 73 70 71 64 62 62 57 59 57 55 61 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 7 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT wind gust.18 18 20 20 20 21 21 21 22 22 22 22 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.0 3.8 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.15 14 15 18 20 20 22 23 24 26 28 28 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SDspl kt-ft/10005 6 10 17 22 32 46 56 70 85 96 90 $$ Forecaster...Woody Requested by...Eric Sirrine Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2422642.2/DLH .DELDT 09/18/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL eric.sirrine@wi.gov