Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4
755
FNUS53 KDTX 160733
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
333 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.DISCUSSION...Strengthening high pressure over the Mid Atlantic over
the next couple of days will support a warming trend across southern
Michigan. The persistence of this high will lead to hot and
increasingly humid conditions through the week. There will be low
chances for thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-162115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
333 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 8 am, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south 15 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4640-5140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (953).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....90-96.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5830-6330 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1150).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-162115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
333 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 8 am, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south 15 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4540-5040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (836).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........72-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....88-94.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5160-5660 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1039).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-162115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
333 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4850-5350 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south 15 to 20
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (805).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (26).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....91-96.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6080-6580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1068).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds around 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
80s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.

$$

SC