Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
067 FNUS53 KDTX 250746 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 346 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024 .DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms exit the region this morning leading to a dry afternoon with minimum RH values falling to around 40 percent. Dry weather continues into Sunday where RH values again drop to into the 40 percent range. The next low pressure system brings showers to the area Sunday night into Monday. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-252115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 346 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024 .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent) until 8 am, then partly sunny (40-50 percent) until 2 pm, then sunny (5-15 percent). Rain showers likely until 8 am. Chance of thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of showers after 8 am until 11 am. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Max temperature.....70-74. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........33-43 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4120-4620 ft agl. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming west 15 to 20 mph until late afternoon, then becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (671). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Min temperature.....49-54. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Max humidity........83-91 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10). Pcpn amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....70-74. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........38-48 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (829). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-252115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 346 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024 .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent) until 8 am, then partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers until 8 am. Chance of thunderstorms until 2 pm. Rain showers likely after 8 am until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Max temperature.....70-76. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........37-47 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming west in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4070-4570 ft agl. Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (698). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Min temperature.....46-51. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Max humidity........86-93 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8). Pcpn amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....66-72. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........38-48 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph early in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3190-3690 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (715). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-252115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 346 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024 .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 8 am, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 11 am, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....74-80. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........33-43 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph becoming west 10 to 15 mph until late afternoon, then becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4540-5040 ft agl. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (694). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....50-56. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Max humidity........84-94 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming east after midnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming east after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10). Pcpn amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....72-78. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Min humidity........38-48 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3260-3760 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (718). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. $$ DRK