Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
504 FNUS53 KDTX 231920 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 320 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .DISCUSSION...Departing cold front is followed by cooler and less humid air through Monday. There is a lingering chance of showers across the Thumb region tonight but dry weather is otherwise expected until the next chance of showers and thunderstorms late Monday night and early Tuesday. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-241415- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 320 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Max temperature.....70-76. 24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler. Min humidity........56-66 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (703). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Min temperature.....56-61. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Max humidity........87-96 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32). Pcpn amount.........None. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........41-51 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5480-5980 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (320). Pcpn amount.........None. .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........79-89 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-241415- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 320 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....72-76. 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler. Min humidity........67-76 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2810-3310 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (698). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of rain showers until 5 am, then slight chance of rain showers. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler. Max humidity........87-96 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 pm, then sunny (5-15 percent). Max temperature.....74-78. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........45-55 percent. 24 hr trend......25 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph early in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5250-5750 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5 mph early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (440). Pcpn amount.........None. .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....59-64. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Max humidity........81-91 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241415- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 320 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 11 am, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....76-80. 24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler. Min humidity........52-62 percent. 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3910-4410 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1009). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Min temperature.....58-64. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Max humidity........88-98 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25). Pcpn amount.........None. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....78-82. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-47 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6350-6850 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (462). Pcpn amount.........None. .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....60-66. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Max humidity........82-92 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. $$ BC