144
FNUS53 KDTX 161858
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid weather settles over southeast Michigan
early this week, but min RH still drops in into the 40s. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms possible both Monday and Tuesday,

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-162115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 am, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (36).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Max temperature.....86-92.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5590-6090 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1198).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....88-92.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5140-5640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1044).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-162115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 am, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Max temperature.....88-92.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5010-5510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1015).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....90-96.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........42-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4750-5250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1006).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-162115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
258 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....90-96.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6030-6530 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1088).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....90-96.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1005).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.JUNETEENTH...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 90.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s.
Highs around 90.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.

$$

SF