Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
144 FNUS21 KWNS 111648 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Valid 111700Z - 121200Z ...Update... Increasing mid-level flow is expected over the Pacific Northwest this afternoon, while surface pressure falls accompany a mid to upper-level shortwave trough over British Columbia. The resulting pressure gradient, and momentum transfer from aloft, will yield sustained westerly drying downslope winds around 20-25 mph with gusts near 40 mph east of the Cascades. Minimum RH will drop to 25-30 percent late this afternoon. Although widespread fuels appear marginal, a couple of wildfires were already reported yesterday across this region, and more receptive fuels are likely present near and north of the OR/WA border. Therefore, an Elevated area has been included for central WA and far northern OR today. For the rest of the CONUS, the forecast remains valid. Please see the previous discussion from below. ..Barnes.. 06/11/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024/ ...Synopsis... A belt of strong westerly midlevel flow will overspread the Pacific Northwest, while a related cold front moves eastward across the region. This will favor downslope warming/drying and a tightening surface pressure gradient east of the Cascades. As a result, locally dry/breezy conditions are expected across portions of eastern WA and OR, and locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. However, marginal fuels limit confidence in an appreciable fire-weather threat -- precluding Elevated highlights at this time. Over the Southwest, warm/dry conditions will continue beneath a midlevel ridge. While locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible (given dry fuels across the region), a modest surface pressure gradient and fairly weak surface winds should limit the overall fire-weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$