650
WUUS01 KWNS 161634
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2024

VALID TIME 161630Z - 171200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   36419201 37848931 37558791 36638797 35998942 35709091
       35749196 36419201
0.02   27549537 28479661 28609800 29509933 30140041 30880218
       31190265 31720252 31850158 31509944 31949756 32139571
       31859375 31329151 31028947 30788834 30558781 30198775
       29728782 29178806
0.05   28799437 29659677 29909761 30469858 30989870 31389831
       31559787 31599651 31199401 30909245 30409220 28869275
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   35569017 35239123 34939278 34939393 35299430 35899437
       36529366 37019253 38039068 38318912 38158838 37488773
       36658801 35569017
0.05   33980186 33399971 32789566 32469365 31939155 31609018
       30898978 30049011 29729169 29699222 29499414 28719569
       28479637 28149686 28479831 29860061 30230172 30780339
       32000499 32710532 33260533 34420467 34470368 33980186
0.05   42599110 43909049 44629006 45048897 44948807 44368774
       43198772 42458796 42088908 41949023 42079086 42599110
0.05   25707931 25608004 25668058 26008122 26478128 26978101
       27248041 27177952
0.15   32480334 32750298 32870215 32470001 32169779 32009588
       31719377 31339280 30829227 30279229 30019263 29749325
       29319488 29139718 29609869 30099983 30450105 30930231
       31510338 32480334
0.30   30789925 31219921 31449870 31359769 31259679 31099602
       30589554 29699644 29849752 30789925
SIGN   30920230 31330300 31900297 32170246 32040157 31469902
       30859751 30289692 29499721 29609867 30059975 30510120
       30920230
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   27639592 28129687 28469833 29880065 30800343 31620446
       32000499 32750534 33210534 33940473 34100411 33990322
       33590207 32959953 32689738 32829595 32479368 31919156
       31508982 31318868 30838654 29808630 29228649
0.05   44378775 43308772 42478797 42098922 41929020 42049086
       42689106 43849049 44629003 45028900 44878809 44378775
0.05   35849444 36559366 37119229 38049067 38318915 38148831
       37448771 36698790 35948939 35529028 35229121 34939278
       34919395 35279433 35849444
0.05   25677928 25608003 25678056 26028123 26488127 26968102
       27248041 27207957
0.15   28799440 29059502 28789556 28459670 28609803 29279906
       30150042 30940225 31330301 32080310 32380293 32540214
       32069998 31979814 32079688 32009589 31709379 31089134
       30698960 30318938 29988929 29658958 28679146
0.30   30869941 31309943 31509919 31609880 31549809 31599650
       30929245 30699229 30309230 30069249 29639615 29839749
       30439862 30869941
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    31609876 31539802 31609656 31399528 30929245 30689226
       30299229 30049252 29639615 29839749 30839938 31289943
       31529919 31609876
SLGT   28799437 29049508 28789556 28459670 28629806 30150042
       30460111 30940222 31510338 32460332 32750301 32860220
       32489994 32189800 32019607 31739384 31159162 30688956
       30328935 29988930 29728950 28659148
MRGL   27749613 28019659 28199720 28459830 29900070 30780339
       32000499 32750534 33260533 34410465 34480368 33980189
       33439983 33019721 32499382 31889151 31548990 31268835
       30858653 29778631 29218651
MRGL   36559366 37029251 38049067 38318912 38148831 37448771
       36638797 35569017 35229121 34939278 34919395 35279433
       35849444 36559366
MRGL   43909049 44629006 45048897 44948807 44378775 43198772
       42458796 42088908 41929020 42049086 42599110 43909049
MRGL   25707922 25608004 25658056 25998121 26458128 26978100
       27228043 27177957
TSTM   25027970 25168097 25158259 99999999 27608326 28557984
       99999999 36588046 38477970 39097922 39097861 38307799
       36867813 36187856 35967915 35978008 36588046 99999999
       42947990 41318024 40038136 39178348 35368661 33818738
       30618599 29488590 29048612 99999999 29420195 29760215
       30150266 30760451 30850592 99999999 31150769 31780962
       31531125 31971187 33611273 34111297 34991329 35361292
       35631192 35521124 35851013 36470982 37660923 40010621
       39780478 38790415 38120416 37320302 37350037 38669609
       41409322 43659257 45169206 46199133 49118937 99999999
       50089599 47629493 46129488 45039557 44749767 44649958
       44780176 44930456 45030645 45040756 45260839 45730892
       46630920 47530963 50001197 99999999 40017283 40627276
       41387269 41817200 41736875

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE
BWD 45 NW TPL 30 SSW CRS 35 WNW LFK 35 SSW ESF 35 NNW LFT 20 WNW LFT
30 NW 7R4 50 W HOU 35 ENE BAZ 30 NE JCT 45 SW BWD 25 SW BWD 20 SE
BWD.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
GLS 25 ESE LBX 25 SSW LBX 30 SSE VCT 30 NW NIR 45 WSW JCT 70 ENE 6R6
40 E FST 20 SSW INK 15 SSW HOB 15 ENE HOB 60 SSW LBB 15 WNW ABI 10
ESE SEP 20 E CRS 45 W IER 40 SSW HEZ 30 NE ASD 20 WSW GPT 30 SSW GPT
25 NNW BVE 80 SW HUM.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S
PSX 55 SSW PSX 30 ESE NIR 40 W NIR 40 NNE DRT 30 WSW FST 15 NW GDP
45 E ALM 20 SE SRR 60 ENE 4CR 20 WNW CVS 15 SW PVW 70 N ABI 15 NE
FTW SHV 20 NW HEZ 35 W PIB 40 N MOB CEW 50 SW PFN 85 SW PFN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
UMN 40 WNW UNO 25 NW FAM 15 W MVN 35 ESE MVN 35 WSW OWB 25 W HOP 35
SE JBR 45 SE BVX 30 SE RUE 35 SE FSM FSM 20 SW FYV 25 SSE UMN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W
VOK 20 WSW CWA 35 ENE AUW 30 N GRB 15 NNW MTW 20 NNE MKE 25 SSW RAC
10 S RFD 35 NNE MLI 25 SSW DBQ 25 NW DBQ 10 W VOK.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 E
MIA 20 SE MIA 20 WSW MIA 35 ESE APF 35 NE APF 50 SSE AGR 30 S VRB 45
NE PBI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SE MIA 30 N MTH 65
NW EYW ...CONT... 40 WSW PIE 55 ENE MLB ...CONT... 40 SSE PSK 30 SSE
EKN 35 ENE EKN 40 WSW MRB 25 ENE CHO 10 NNW AVC 25 NNE RDU 20 WNW
RDU 15 SW GSO 40 SSE PSK ...CONT... 60 W BUF 20 WSW FKL 30 ENE ZZV
50 E LUK 50 N HSV 40 WNW BHM 35 NW PFN 55 SSW PFN 80 SW AAF
...CONT... 45 SSE 6R6 20 S 6R6 30 WNW 6R6 40 NW MRF 70 SSE ELP
...CONT... 75 S DMN 20 N DUG 45 SSW TUS 55 W TUS 45 WNW PHX 50 SW
PRC 40 ESE IGM 55 NNW PRC 25 SSE GCN 35 NE FLG 65 NNE INW 80 SSW 4BL
15 ENE 4BL 45 ENE EGE DEN 30 E COS 20 ESE PUB 20 W SPD 35 SW DDC 25
NNE EMP 10 NW OXV 20 S RST 35 NW EAU 30 SW ASX 105 NNE GNA
...CONT... 85 NNW RRT BJI 30 NE AXN 40 NW RWF 30 WSW ATY 40 ENE PIR
50 N PHP 55 SE 4BQ 30 NE SHR 35 WNW SHR 40 S BIL 20 WSW BIL 30 SSE
LWT 35 NNW LWT 95 N CTB ...CONT... 55 SSE ISP 20 SE ISP 25 ENE BDR
30 W PVD 75 ENE ACK.