Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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114
WUUS01 KWNS 171628
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1126 AM CDT TUE SEP 17 2024

VALID TIME 171630Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   49580469 47790356 47080381 47010395 46900495 47260672
       47090765 46990842 47060876 48000906 48560878 49340806
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49620319 47760158 46070101 43170056 39990073 35310242
       33630353 33300433 33400490 33960535 35020648 36180827
       37160845 37740787 38470650 40280513 41970479 43860474
       44950523 45370621 45420711 45120829 44490968 44481011
       44711043 45621086 48371134 49511139
0.15   49500468 48460399 47990397 47610399 47170415 46960511
       46880640 46400764 46110861 46140903 46430938 47831014
       48571031 49490987
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   25267978 25378039 25658076 27308127 28108150 28608141
       28948105 29108032
0.05   49490297 47440134 44909980 43179945 40959925 36730057
       35610116 34460202 33420312 33080379 33180451 33410495
       34030544 34980649 36140826 37750874 39220874 40310911
       41980903 42860941 43641008 44591052 45621085 48361134
       49511141
0.15   49560471 48130351 45760214 44110140 42500063 41330039
       39640062 37020154 35330264 35180359 35600442 36320459
       37550461 38650478 39830505 40520509 41140490 42030479
       44290474 45160512 45970630 46800751 48110767 49380730
0.30   39110179 38640230 38630341 39320378 40150401 41020408
       42080397 42800388 43000344 42980269 42890223 42670191
       41840148 40800141 39710138 39110179
SIGN   43230180 42060117 39800107 38050196 37560244 37480339
       38010379 39240398 40070419 42120445 43160431 43760328
       43840256 43230180
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    42890224 42670191 41820149 40760140 39700137 39110179
       38640231 38620341 39340378 40160401 41050408 42070397
       42790388 42990345 42980271 42890224
SLGT   49560472 48130351 45770214 44120140 42510064 41330038
       39630062 37030154 35310266 35190357 35610442 36320458
       37560462 38770480 39800504 40530509 41110491 42000479
       44280473 45110511 45980629 46260679 46390766 46110860
       46130901 46430938 47831013 48581032 49490985
MRGL   49490298 47440134 44909980 43179945 40979925 36730057
       35610116 34460202 33420312 33080378 33180450 33410495
       34020544 34980649 36150826 37740874 39210873 40320911
       41980903 42870941 43621008 44631053 45601085 48371134
       49511141
MRGL   25267978 25378039 25658076 27278126 28108150 28608141
       28948105 29118032
TSTM   48328708 47478992 46349239 44089429 42209504 38979583
       36629776 33580050 32670206 31300310 29030472 99999999
       26649968 26939825 26529661 99999999 28679188 30009272
       30479296 30929311 31459303 31739278 31879230 31999164
       32328967 31858585 30468058 99999999 34087680 35007848
       35408145 35448294 35638378 35968435 36498442 37298412
       38438300 39028199 39328005 39387802 39217611 38747375
       99999999 30811142 31821132 32811122 34071068 37541021
       38191067 38791136 39471320 40371589 42081859 43711914
       46671841 49891819

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E
CDR 60 NW MHN 25 SW MHN 20 NE IML 30 NE GLD 20 SSW GLD 40 S ITR 40 N
LHX 10 NW LIC 40 W AKO 40 E CYS 10 E TOR 40 W CDR 20 WNW CDR 20 ENE
CDR 45 E CDR.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110
NNW ISN ISN 10 S Y22 10 ENE PHP 25 S VTN 20 NE LBF 40 S MCK 20 E EHA
50 S DHT TCC 40 E LVS 30 S RTN 25 NW TAD COS 10 WNW DEN FCL CYS 35 W
TOR 40 E GCC 25 SSE 4BQ 35 SSW MLS 45 WSW MLS 60 NE BIL 20 N BIL 35
NW BIL 20 E 3HT 55 SSW HVR 25 W HVR 65 N HVR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNE
ISN 15 SSE N60 45 NNE PIR 40 S 9V9 20 NW EAR 30 SE LBL 15 ESE BGD 25
NW PVW 50 N HOB 45 NW HOB 10 S ROW 25 WNW ROW 15 ESE 4CR ABQ 40 S
FMN 30 N CEZ 15 NW GJT 25 ESE VEL 25 N RKS 35 W LND 35 E JAC 30 E
WEY 20 SE BZN 50 ESE CTB 75 NE CTB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE
MIA 30 SSW MIA 30 WSW MIA 25 S AGR 35 NNW AGR ORL 15 S DAB 45 E DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 NE CMX 30 SE GNA
35 SSW DLH 20 WSW MKT 25 NE DNS 15 WSW TOP 20 NNE END 60 SSW CDS 45
NW BGS 30 NNW FST 100 SSW MRF ...CONT... 65 SSW LRD 50 N MFE 65 NE
BRO ...CONT... 80 S 7R4 30 ESE LCH 30 NNE LCH 10 SSE POE 20 SSE IER
20 E IER 30 N ESF 30 NW HEZ 55 W MEI 10 E TOI 55 NE SGJ ...CONT...
65 ESE ILM 25 E FAY 20 S HKY 20 W AVL 20 SE TYS 20 WNW TYS 45 SSW
LOZ 15 N LOZ 25 WNW HTS 20 SE UNI 25 SSW MGW MRB 30 E BWI 65 SE ACY
...CONT... 85 SW FHU 30 SW TUS 50 NNW TUS 40 WSW SOW 25 E U17 15 S
4HV 45 NW 4HV 35 W U24 30 S EKO 50 SW REO 10 NW BNO 40 N ALW 115 NNE
OMK.