Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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864
WUUS01 KWNS 212000
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2024

VALID TIME 212000Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39121130 39280857 38590782 37790763 37530782 36960896
       36331031 36431167 37651215 38461190 39121130
0.02   43140130 43490000 44079680 44289446 44328964 43848877
       43168890 42899050 42899250 42159590 40780214 40740412
       41250552 42200650 44060796 44250834 45870976 47181239
       48131264 48781110 48620857 45770605 43580338 43140130
0.05   45340884 46050971 46911129 47841135 48140992 47680827
       46970748 45960720 45370737 45340884
0.05   42919966 43429950 43919674 44089524 43909481 43339518
       42609644 42599825 42919966
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49240824 47360596 45230402 44470134 44469954 45549653
       45639114 44328727 43068675 42338743 41829535 40949914
       39760252 39300556 36610685 35510833 35231119 35671303
       36391379 38511344 40691152 41981092 43910987 45361140
       46781385 48601499 49581388 49240824
0.15   36321046 36431167 37601211 38531185 39001175 41351006
       41160938 39810929 38520801 37650780 37280827 36321046
0.15   43569946 44149624 44319367 43519327 42909381 41869827
       40920191 40670411 41180550 42020646 43640740 44300837
       45910982 47161229 48171264 48771117 48600853 45790607
       43610350 43170132 43569946
SIGN   44760729 45160885 46010957 47121180 47721182 48121087
       48040856 46970734 45010695 44760729
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   43087948 42747736 42627510 42907411 43477308 43207185
       42467105 41917097 41297144 40857394 39947674 39797870
       40198101 40868326 41608456 42408753 41969315 39969882
       38210331 35440609 33930855 32430919 30750892 30831059
       33671159 35211257 36381383 38511344 40791143 41591113
       42751053 43910985 45381140 46721394 48521500 49511393
       49340828 47650614 45260404 44410131 44509958 45609639
       45659140 44748844 44378630 45008180
0.15   40979958 40180028 40010101 40020169 40670236 40800273
       40710415 40550508 39910626 38070679 36990895 36311037
       36421167 37561215 38941175 41790966 44300831 45920986
       47191237 48211260 48761133 48600850 45820615 44450448
       43610342 43130124 43729887 44119642 44349274 44308958
       43828873 43138886 42889058 42919257 41929679 40979958
0.15   41757405 42137361 42947326 42967274 42487207 41767158
       41347171 41247287 41077354 41347403 41757405
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   48771117 48600853 45790607 44010398 43610342 43490292
       43170132 43589961 44139642 44329322 44308962 43828873
       43138886 42879062 42899248 41879699 40979957 40170030
       40010097 40010167 40670237 40770265 40660412 40540506
       39890625 38040680 37090867 36301051 36441166 37601213
       39021172 41900961 44260836 45940985 47181237 48161264
       48771117
SLGT   41767404 42127361 42947328 42957273 42477206 41767159
       41337171 41247286 41077351 41337403 41767404
MRGL   43097948 43077945 42747734 42617508 42917411 43467308
       43237190 42427103 41927098 41307144 40867386 39977668
       39827869 40208106 40828317 41598449 42378744 42019301
       40279789 38200330 35450606 33890854 32430922 30830893
       99999999 30841060 33671159 35211257 36381383 38511344
       41001135 41591113 43910985 45381140 46721394 48521500
       48601499 49521394 99999999 49340828 47520602 45210399
       44420132 44539958 45609639 45659140 45639114 44748842
       44378634 44948184
TSTM   44167989 43477874 43497676 44287582 44617411 43957204
       42627029 42176896 99999999 40357201 40297414 39217751
       38027861 35928184 35978319 38258110 38908144 39228240
       40008363 41658651 41688732 41398907 40559064 38749319
       38419405 38609591 40129674 39999849 39340001 38080100
       36570039 35490038 34400083 33720165 33200396 30730618
       99999999 28900450 30610256 30379736 30929245 29378807
       99999999 29058600 30148470 31838350 33498185 34977849
       35367459 99999999 49770042 47049687 46499438 45948619
       45808219 99999999 30961197 34451309 37311469 38261504
       38481677 39171752 39971680 40571513 41541390 42851241
       43931191 45001217 46311432 47351560 48791636 49711769

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E
CTB 55 E HVR 40 NW 4BQ 45 W RAP 35 SSW RAP 40 S RAP 45 WNW VTN 20 SW
9V9 25 ESE BKX 35 ENE MKT 35 S CWA 15 SW OSH 25 E MSN 35 SW LNR 25 N
ALO 25 ESE OFK 30 S BBW 15 E MCK 25 WSW MCK 35 S IML 40 WNW IML 30
SE SNY 50 ENE FCL FCL 40 ENE EGE 35 SSE GUC 15 S CEZ 70 SE PGA 35
SSW PGA 10 SSE BCE 50 ESE U24 35 NW RKS 30 NW WRL 35 ENE LVM 45 NNW
HLN 35 SSW CTB 55 E CTB.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW
POU 25 SW PSF 30 ENE ALB 25 W EEN 15 NW ORH 10 WNW PVD 15 NNW BID 15
ENE BDR 20 WSW BDR 20 SSW POU 10 NW POU.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW
BUF 40 WNW BUF 30 SSE ROC 40 SSE UCA 20 NW ALB 10 SW RUT 20 W CON
BOS 15 N EWB 10 NE BID 15 NNW JFK 20 SSE CXY 40 SSW AOO 20 W HLG 30
ESE FDY 35 W TOL 35 SE RAC 45 NE DSM 35 SE HSI 15 NE LHX 10 S SAF 85
WNW TCS 40 SE SAD 60 SE DUG ...CONT... 55 SSW FHU 30 NE PHX 40 NNW
PRC 50 SSW SGU 25 WNW MLF 25 SW EVW 20 NNW EVW 50 ENE JAC 30 SSW BZN
15 SSE MSO 35 WNW GPI 40 WNW GPI 85 N GPI ...CONT... 85 NE HVR 45
SSW OLF 35 SW 2WX 30 NNE PHP 35 ENE PIR 20 N VVV 55 N EAU 55 NNE EAU
25 NW GRB 10 NNW MBL 85 ENE OSC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 NW BUF 35 N BUF
40 NW SYR 20 NNE ART 15 NNE SLK 25 NNE LEB 40 ENE BOS 75 ENE HYA
...CONT... 60 SSW BID 20 NNE NEL 30 ESE MRB 10 SW CHO 30 WNW HKY 20
WNW HSS 30 ESE CRW 30 S PKB 10 W UNI 30 ENE DAY 10 WSW SBN 25 NW VPZ
20 W MMO 30 ESE BRL 20 E SZL 35 SW SZL 25 NE EMP 10 S BIE 40 S HSI
10 WSW HLC 20 NW GCK 45 SE LBL 60 ESE BGD 30 W CDS 10 ENE LBB 35 E
ROW 75 S ELP ...CONT... 105 SSW MRF 30 SE FST 20 ENE AUS 35 SSW ESF
80 E BVE ...CONT... 75 SW AAF 30 SW TLH 45 ENE ABY 10 NE AGS 20 E
FAY 60 E HSE ...CONT... 110 NNE MOT 10 NNW FAR 15 WNW BRD 45 ENE ESC
85 NE APN ...CONT... 100 SW TUS 40 WSW PRC 25 SSW P38 50 NNW P38 35
NNE TPH 25 SW U31 40 NNE U31 40 ESE EKO 55 N ENV 10 ESE PIH 30 NNE
IDA 25 SE DLN 45 SSW MSO 20 SSW 3TH 95 NNW 3TH 120 NE OMK.