801
FNUS22 KWNS 031752
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1252 PM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The previous forecast remains on track (see discussion below for
details). Latest guidance continues to show the potential for areas
of elevated fire weather conditions from central NM southward into
far west TX Tuesday afternoon. However, variance between solutions
continues to suggest low probability for any one location to
maintain elevated thresholds for more than an hour or two away from
more prominent terrain features. Trends will continue to be
monitored for the need for highlights, but confidence remains too
limited to introduce any risk areas.

..Moore.. 06/03/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Mon Jun 03 2024/

...Synopsis...
Zonal flow aloft is forecast to transition to northwesterly through
the forecast period as mid-level ridging builds over the West Coast.
At the same time, a shortwave trough over the northern Rockies will
intensify as it ejects eastward into the Plains. At the surface,
several lee lows are forecast to develop from eastern MT into the
southern Plains. A cold front will move south over the Rockies and
central US ushering in a slightly cooler air mass. Increasing
moisture and weaker winds are expected over parts of the Southwest
in the wake of the front and as ridging limits westerly flow aloft.
The net result will be much less overlap of dry and windy conditions
into parts of NM, AZ and far west TX. While a few hours of locally
dry and breezy conditions (winds of 15+ mph and RH below 20%) are
possible over parts of southern NM and far west TX, coverage and
duration of this appears unlikely to meet Elevated criteria.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$