941
FNUS22 KWNS 261856
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0156 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments
needed based on recent trends in model guidance and rainfall totals
over the past 24 hours. MRMS QPE data indicated that wetting
rainfall has recently fallen across portions of western to central
NV, which should mitigate fuel receptiveness for the near term. The
Elevated risk area across northeast NV has been trimmed to account
for this factor. Further north into the Snake River Plain, critical
fire weather conditions remain possible, but ensemble guidance
continues to suggest that such conditions will be fairly transient
(1-2 hours).

...Southeast New Mexico into far West Texas...
Localized elevated conditions appear possible across southeast NM
into the Trans Pecos region of far west TX as winds increase to
around 15 mph and temperatures climb to around 100 F. Areas that
have not received rainfall in recent days likely have dry grasses
given the ongoing drought conditions, which may support a localized
fire weather concern.

..Moore.. 06/26/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0225 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024/

...Synopsis...
A mid to upper-level shortwave trough, jet max, and associated cold
front will pass over the Pacific Northwest and western/northwestern
Great Basin Thursday. Although some cloud cover is expected
throughout the day, pockets of clearer skies will allow for deeper
mixing through the lower troposphere near the Upper Snake River
Plain and portions of the northern Great Basin around the UT/NV
border. This, along with a tightening surface pressure gradient,
will support sustained winds around 25 to 30 mph (with localized
gusts up to 40 mph possible) across the Upper Snake Region and 15 to
20 mph winds further south. Warm temperatures and dry boundary-layer
conditions near a prefrontal trough axis will also yield RH in the
upper to lower teens north to south respectively.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$