Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
957 FNUS54 KEPZ 141940 FWFEPZ Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 140 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY... ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY... .DISCUSSION... For the rest of this afternoon, there will be a few showers in the lowlands and thunderstorms especially in the Sacramento Mountains. Tonight recovery will be poor to excellent. For Saturday, drier air will move in. The 20ft winds will be light to breezy and variable in direction with the temperatures above the normal. Saturday overnight recovery will be poor to fair. For Sunday, dry air will remain in place with no precipitation in sight. The 20ft winds will be generally breezy a variable in direction with above average temperatures. For the rest of the period, quiet conditions are expected with breezy afternoon winds and mostly above normal temperatures. With that said, fire weather conditions will be near critical through the period. && ...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect sky cover amount... ...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows: Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft) Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft) Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft) Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft) Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established by the state of New Mexico. NMZ110-151230- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ- 140 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY... .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming clear (0-10 percent). * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....53-58. * Below 7500 ft....57-62. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent. * Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent. * 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph becoming north around 5 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 21 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....82-87. * Below 7500 ft....90-95. * 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....9-11 percent. * Below 7500 ft....7-11 percent. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (134000 knot-ft). .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....55-60. * Below 7500 ft....60-65. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....26-31 percent. * Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....81-86. * Below 7500 ft....90-95. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....7-9 percent. * Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....West around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (195800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 85 to 90. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 58. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 86 to 91. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NMZ111-151230- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- 140 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY... .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). * Min temperature.....61-66. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Max humidity........16-21 percent. * 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 20 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). * Max temperature.....96-100. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........4-6 percent. * 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........5. * Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....West around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (132200 knot-ft). .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). * Min temperature.....63-67. * Max humidity........20-25 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........5. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). * Max temperature.....98-103. * Min humidity........5-7 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....West around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (206600 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the 60s. Highs 95 to 100. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 94 to 99. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 96 to 100. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NMZ112-151230- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- 140 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY... .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature.....64-69. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Max humidity........44-49 percent. * 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........6. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). * Max temperature.....96-101. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........6-10 percent. * 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (159700 knot-ft). .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). * Min temperature.....66-71. * Max humidity........17-22 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). * Max temperature.....99-104. * Min humidity........5-7 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL increasing to 15200 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (223400 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 70. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 95 to 100. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 96 to 101. South winds around 10 mph. $$ NMZ113-151230- Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- 140 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY... .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....50-55. * Below 7500 ft....57-62. * 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....79-84 percent. * Below 7500 ft....78-83 percent. * 24 hr trend......30 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........5. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....78-83. * Below 7500 ft....88-93. * 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....13-17 percent. * Below 7500 ft....12-17 percent. * 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (141000 knot-ft). .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....55-60. * Below 7500 ft....61-66. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....26-31 percent. * Below 7500 ft....35-40 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....81-86. * Below 7500 ft....91-96. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....10-12 percent. * Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL increasing to 15400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (223800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .JUNETEENTH...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 86 to 91. South winds around 10 mph. $$ TXZ055-151230- Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- 140 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY... .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). * Min temperature.....70-74. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. * Max humidity........36-41 percent. * 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). * Max temperature.....100-104. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........5-10 percent. * 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........5. * Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (187300 knot-ft). .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). * Min temperature.....69-73. * Max humidity........14-19 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). * Max temperature.....102-106. * Min humidity........6-11 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 14000 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (203200 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 100 to 104. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 101. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 99 to 103. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TXZ056-151230- Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County- 140 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY... .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature.....68-72. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........54-59 percent. * 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........6. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). * Max temperature.....98-103. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Min humidity........6-8 percent. * 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (184700 knot-ft). .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). * Min temperature.....66-70. * Max humidity........32-37 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). * Max temperature.....99-104. * Min humidity........6-8 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL increasing to 16200 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (204700 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast winds around 10 mph. $$