Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
139 FNUS74 KEPZ 152257 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Antone...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 457 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on June 16. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Mainly clear conditions can be expected to next few days. This will result in a continuation of very dry conditions with Min RH values dropping to around 10% each afternoon. In general winds will not be extremely strong, but west and southwest breezes will gust at times into the 20 to 25 mph range during the late afternoon and early evening hours. Meanwhile a combination of warm daytime temps and decent transport wind speeds will result in excellent vent rates for the next couple of days. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 85. Min humidity........8 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph with gusts to around 20 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then shifting to the southwest around 9 mph with gusts to around 22 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......11600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph shifting to the southwest in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23100 knot-ft) increasing to very good (129000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (181500 knot-ft) in the afternoon in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........3 1 1 6 4 4 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............58 67 77 83 84 83 RH..............28 21 15 11 9 8 20 ft wind......NW 4 W 5 W 5 SW 7 SW 9 SW 9 20 ft wind gust.12 15 15 20 22 22 Mix hgt (ft)....2300 2300 10500 10500 11600 11600 Transport wind..NW 12 NW 12 SW 13 SW 13 SW 17 SW 17 Haines index....5 4 5 6 6 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..23 23 129 129 182 182 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD EXNT EXNT .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 54. Max humidity........30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 9 mph with gusts to around 22 mph in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......10500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Transport winds.....West 10 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (168500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (2800 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........6 6 3 5 5 3 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............82 73 65 61 57 54 RH..............8 11 16 19 23 28 20 ft wind......SW 9 SW 9 W 7 W 4 W 4 W 3 20 ft wind gust.22 22 21 14 14 9 Mix hgt (ft)....10500 10500 300 300 300 300 Transport wind..W 17 W 17 W 13 W 13 W 10 W 10 Haines index....6 6 6 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..169 169 4 4 3 3 Ventrate Cat....EXNT EXNT POOR POOR POOR POOR .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 83. Min humidity........10 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 7 to 10 mph with gusts to around 24 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 23 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (58900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (141000 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (188900 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........2 3 5 4 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............54 65 78 83 RH..............30 23 12 10 20 FT wind......SW 3G13 SW 7G20 SW 10G24 SW 10G24 Mix hgt (ft)....3500 3500 7400 9300 Transport wind..SW 14 SW 14 SW 22 SW 23 Haines index....4 4 5 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..59 59 141 189 Ventrate Cat....FAIR FAIR VYGD EXNT .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 6 mph. .JUNETEENTH... Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY... Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 9 mph. $$ Forecaster...LANEY Requested by...Rocky Beery Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416183.0/EPZ .DELDT 06/15/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL rocky.beery@usda.gov