Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
832 FNUS74 KEPZ 230006 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Antone Fire...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 606 PM MDT Sat Jun 22 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on June 23. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Sunday will feature conditions similar to what was seen today, except a few degrees warmer. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to redevelop by the afternoon with gusty winds the main concern. Winds, outside of thunderstorms, are expected to remain light, 4 to 8 MPH, with direction largely driven by terrain. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. Max temperature.....Around 76. Min humidity........40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph shifting to the southeast around 8 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then shifting to the west around 10 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8700 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (43500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........60 60 58 73 73 61 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 60 60 70 LAL.............1 1 1 4 4 5 Temp............58 64 69 73 75 76 RH..............90 71 55 48 43 42 20 ft wind......E 2 E 2 E 2 S 2 S 2 NW 2 20 ft wind gust.5 5 7 8 8 7 Mix hgt (ft)....1200 1200 6100 6100 5000 5000 Transport wind..NE 7 NE 7 SE 8 SE 8 W 10 W 10 Haines index....3 2 2 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 9 44 44 40 40 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR POOR POOR .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 59. Max humidity........69 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast around 7 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft). Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........62 62 54 53 53 43 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 10 10 10 LAL.............4 4 4 1 1 1 Temp............74 68 65 63 61 60 RH..............43 52 60 62 62 64 20 ft wind......NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 SE 1 20 ft wind gust.6 6 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (ft)....3500 3500 100 100 100 100 Transport wind..NE 9 NE 9 NE 8 NE 8 SE 7 SE 7 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..24 24 1 1 1 1 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 10 mph shifting to the west around 15 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (64700 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........32 33 56 72 Weather cov.....NONE NONE LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE LIKELY LIKELY Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 70 70 LAL.............1 1 5 5 Temp............59 68 75 79 RH..............69 54 43 41 20 FT wind......S 2G5 SW 2G8 W 3G9 W 2G8 Mix hgt (ft)....3200 3200 8100 4800 Transport wind..S 9 S 9 SW 10 W 15 Haines index....3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..26 26 65 52 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD FAIR .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds. .THURSDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. $$ Forecaster...BROWN Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416319.6/EPZ .DELDT 06/22/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov