Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
842 FNUS74 KEPZ 211835 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Normandy Fire...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1235 PM MDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MDT on June 21. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 4PM this evening will lead to more erratic winds and gusts to 40 mph the rest of the night. Light southeast flow continues tomorrow as conditions become warmer and drier. Very good midday smoke ventilation this weekend with transport to the WNW. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers early in the afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Showers likely late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................4. Max temperature.....Around 82. Min humidity........45 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 14 to 17 mph with gusts to around 31 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 22 to 24 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (74300 knot-ft). Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........89 89 90 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 70 LAL.............4 4 5 Temp............79 81 82 RH..............50 47 46 20 ft wind......E 17 E 17 E 14 20 ft wind gust.31 31 25 Mix hgt (ft)....3900 3800 3800 Transport wind..SE 24 E 22 E 22 Haines index....3 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..76 74 74 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD GOOD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers in the evening. Scattered thunderstorms through the night. Scattered showers overnight. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. LAL.................4 until 0300, then 3. Min temperature.....Around 69. Max humidity........70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 13 to 22 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6300 knot-ft). Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........81 81 85 73 73 56 Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD Chc of pcpn (%).80 80 80 40 40 30 LAL.............5 5 5 4 4 4 Temp............81 76 74 72 70 69 RH..............50 57 65 69 70 67 20 ft wind......E 11 E 11 E 10 NE 10 NE 10 NE 10 20 ft wind gust.20 20 18 20 20 18 Mix hgt (ft)....1600 1600 600 600 700 700 Transport wind..E 22 E 22 E 15 E 15 E 13 E 13 Haines index....3 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..34 34 10 10 6 6 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Scattered showers through the day. Scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1500, then 4. Max temperature.....Around 91. Min humidity........25 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 13 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (113800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........42 22 27 27 Weather cov.....SCTTRD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE ISOLTD SCTTRD Chc of pcpn (%).40 20 40 40 LAL.............1 1 4 4 Temp............69 79 87 91 RH..............67 48 35 27 20 FT wind......NE 8G16 E 8G16 E 8G16 E 9G15 Mix hgt (ft)....1500 1500 6900 8500 Transport wind..E 13 E 13 E 13 E 15 Haines index....2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..19 19 92 114 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD VYGD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. East winds around 6 mph. .MONDAY... Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY... Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds around 6 mph. $$ Forecaster...DENNHARDT Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Center Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416492.0/EPZ .DELDT 06/21/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov