Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
701 FNUS74 KEPZ 092317 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Antone...USFS National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 517 PM MDT Sun Jun 9 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on June 10. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... We will see min RH`s Monday afternoon near 20% with breezy west winds. The winds look to stay below critical levels. There will be a slight chance for afternoon and early evening thunderstorms. If a thunderstorm does develop, it could produce dry lightning and strong outflow winds. For Monday night, our winds will go light or drainage and we will have decent RH recoveries of around 40%. On Tuesday the light winds will continue with just a slight chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Vent rates in the afternoon will range from good to very good. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 77. Min humidity........19 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph. Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph shifting to the west 10 to 14 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18700 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (102000 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to very good (133800 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........38 59 59 71 60 60 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............54 63 69 74 77 76 RH..............46 34 27 22 19 19 20 ft wind......W 5 W 5 W 5 W 6 W 7 W 7 20 ft wind gust.9 12 12 13 13 13 Mix hgt (ft)....2700 2700 9600 9600 10600 10600 Transport wind..NE 8 NE 8 W 10 W 10 W 14 W 14 Haines index....3 2 2 2 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..19 19 102 102 134 134 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD VYGD VYGD .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 53. Max humidity........41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 11 to 14 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very good (122200 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (4100 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........47 47 29 15 15 10 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............74 66 61 58 56 54 RH..............20 27 33 37 38 41 20 ft wind......W 6 W 6 W 3 W 2 W 2 W 1 20 ft wind gust.13 13 9 3 3 3 Mix hgt (ft)....9400 9400 400 400 400 400 Transport wind..NW 14 NW 14 NW 11 NW 11 NW 12 NW 12 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..122 122 4 4 5 5 Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........12 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......12600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 14 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (36900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (121900 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to very good (149400 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 6 or very low to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........7 8 15 29 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............53 68 78 84 RH..............41 24 17 13 20 FT wind......NW 3G6 NW 4G9 NW 5G9 NW 5G9 Mix hgt (ft)....3400 3400 11400 12600 Transport wind..NW 12 NW 12 NW 12 NW 14 Haines index....3 3 5 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..37 37 122 149 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD $$ Forecaster...BRICE Requested by...NMSDC Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2415831.1/EPZ .DELDT 06/09/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL NMSDC@firenet.gov