589
FXUS65 KFGZ 251110
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
410 AM MST Sat May 25 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and breezy weather continues across northern
Arizona today. Lighter winds and a noticeable warming trend will
arrive by Sunday, continuing through much of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A s/wv trough will move through the eastern Great
Basin today, passing to our north. This leaves us on the dry and
windy side of the trough, with a few degrees of cooling as we are
brushed by the colder air. Wind speeds will peak today, with the
strongest winds east of Flagstaff and north of the Mogollon Rim.
Most areas will stay just below Wind Advisory criteria, a few areas
may sneak above, but not enough for wind headlines. However, winds
will be high enough, when combined with a very dry airmass, to
warrant a Red Flag warning toady, predominately for the Little
Colorado River Valley and Chinle Valley.

After today, hghts begin to rise over northern Arizona, lasting
through next week. this will allow for much less wind, warmer
temperatures and continued dry weather.

&&

.AVIATION...Saturday 25/06Z through Sunday 26/06Z...VFR with S-SW
winds around 10 kts, becoming 10-20 kts with gusts 30-35 kts
after 15Z.

OUTLOOK...Sunday 26/06Z through Tuesday 28/06Z...VFR conditions
expected. SW-W winds 5-15 kts on Sunday and Monday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Sunday...Near-critical to critical fire
weather conditions today across the Little Colorado River Valley.
Elsewhere across northern Arizona will experience elevated fire
weather conditions with afternoon winds gusts 25-40 mph and min RHs
falling into the 20s to upper teens. Overnight recoveries tonight
will see most getting above 50 percent. Notably lower RHs for Sunday
but much lighter winds.

Monday through Wednesday...Temperatures will be warming Monday
through Wednesday with min RHs falling into the low teens and single
digits. Overnight recoveries will become worse, only jumping into
the 20s and 30s by mid week.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Meola
FIRE WEATHER...RKR

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff