Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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436 FXUS64 KFWD 282347 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 647 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Tonight through Saturday Night/ Mid level ridging will remain firmly in control of the weather across North Texas through the weekend with hot and humid conditions expected to continue. The current Heat Advisory and Excessive Heat Warning will remain unchanged with heat indices again expected to top 110 degrees in some locations. There will be a weak cold front to our north across Oklahoma where convection will likely be scattered throughout the late afternoon/evening. Some of this may drift toward the Red River late Saturday night. Otherwise, we`ll be watching a few storms to the east/southeast associated with the sea breeze which may try to sneak into our far southern/eastern counties. PoPs will generally remain 10% or less. The hot and humid weather will continue into Sunday. Dunn && .LONG TERM... /Issued 211 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024/ Update: No major changes were made with the latest long term forecast. Hot and dry conditions will prevail across North and Central Texas through next week, with heat indices ranging between 105 to 110. Low storm chances remain for our northeastern counties. It is totally possible that rain chances will be pulled out completely by Sunday as it seems increasingly likely that the associated surface boundary will stall north of us in Oklahoma. Reeves Previous Discussion: /Saturday Night Through Next Week/ The ongoing summer heat will be the main headline in the extended period, with rain chances remaining near zero through next week. The only exception to this will be on Sunday as showers and storms develop near a weak front in Oklahoma. Some of this activity may skirt areas near the Red River, but this will largely depend on how far south the front ends up stalling. Otherwise, rain-free weather is expected, with daily temperatures ranging from the mid 90s to near 104 degrees. Warm and muggy mornings in the mid 70s to low 80s will continue. Fortunately, slightly lower humidity should keep heat index values a bit lower than we`re currently seeing. However, we`ll still meet Heat Advisory criteria across most of the area each day, so a daily extension of the ongoing advisory can be expected for the next week. Barnes && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ VFR is expected to prevail through most of the period with south winds 10-15 kt. Some brief MVFR cigs may be possible across North Texas Saturday morning and we`ll keep the TEMPO in for a few hours. Otherwise, no significant aviation concerns are expected. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 81 99 81 99 82 / 0 0 0 5 5 Waco 79 98 77 97 78 / 0 0 0 5 0 Paris 78 95 78 95 76 / 0 0 0 20 10 Denton 79 99 79 100 78 / 0 0 0 5 5 McKinney 79 98 79 98 78 / 0 0 0 10 5 Dallas 81 100 81 99 81 / 0 0 0 5 5 Terrell 78 97 78 96 78 / 0 0 0 10 5 Corsicana 80 98 78 98 79 / 0 0 0 5 5 Temple 79 98 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 5 0 Mineral Wells 78 100 77 99 78 / 0 0 0 5 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ091>094- 102>105-117>121-131>134. Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ095-100-101-106-107- 115-116-122-123-129-130-135-141>148-156>162-174-175. && $$