Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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268
FNUS74 KFWD 230047
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Navarro 2603...tamfs
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
747 PM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 CDT on September 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds will increase through the night ahead of a cold front.
Temperatures will slowly cool through the night, falling into the
middle 70s by sunrise. Recovery overnight will be above 80 percent.
A southeast wind will prevail through the evening with a gradual
shift to the southwest overnight and a quick turn to the northwest
between 8 and 9 AM Monday. Wind speeds tonight and Monday will remain
below 10 mph. A few showers or thunderstorms may accompany the
cold front on Monday. Lightning and gusty/erratic winds will be
possible with any storm that develops.



.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent)
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 6 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 10 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  52  37  58  57  58  66  69  82  77
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............87  84  82  81  78  78  77  76  76  76
RH..............48  55  61  63  69  71  74  79  79  79
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   9   10  12  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   10  12  12  13  12  10  10
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 6 mph early in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  67  65  65  70  67  62  55  63  60  53  59
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............75  74  75  76  77  80  81  83  84  85  86  84
RH..............82  84  84  82  79  72  69  65  61  59  57  61
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.10  9   10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.2
Transp wind dir.NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   12  12  12  10  10  9   9   9   10
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  33  33  33  33  36  39  42  47  52  57  59
Weather cov.....SCH                         SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW                          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH                         SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............84  82  78  76  76  75  74  73  72  72  71  71
RH..............59  63  71  76  76  78  80  81  82  83  84  85
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   8   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
                    through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  64  64  64  64  61  59  56  55  54  53  52
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Temp............70  70  72  74  76  78  81  83  84  85  86  85
RH..............86  87  83  80  76  69  63  57  54  52  50  52
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.7 4.7 5.8 6.4 6.2 4.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   8
Haines index....3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Fano
Requested by...Dwayne Teel
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422873.0/FWD
.DELDT 09/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu