Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS
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824 FXUS63 KGLD 241938 AFDGLD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 138 PM MDT Tue Sep 24 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Near average temperatures and dry conditions expected through the upcoming weekend. Climatology. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... Issued at 130 PM MDT Tue Sep 24 2024 Synoptic Overview: An upper level low (centered over Iowa at 18Z) will progress southward into MO-IL (today).. then stall invof the Central MS River Valley (Wed). Meanwhile, a pronounced upper level ridge over the western CONUS will shift eastward across the Rockies (tonight) and High Plains (Wed). Expect a clearing trend today followed by clear skies and a modest warming trend on Wednesday.. as the aforementioned ridge shifts eastward over the region. Breezy (15-30 mph) N-NNW winds this afternoon will become light/variable this evening and overnight, shifting to the S at 5-15 mph during the day on Wed.. as the MSLP pattern re-orients in response to the development of a modest lee trough in Colorado. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 130 PM MDT Tue Sep 24 2024 Long range guidance indicates that a broad upper ridge will prevail over the majority of the lower 48 in this period.. albeit with a cut-off low trapped within.. meandering invof the Central/Southern MS River Valley. As long as the cut-off low remains well downstream of the Tri-State area (as guidance presently indicates).. expect benign weather and near average temperatures.. climatology. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1140 AM MDT Tue Sep 24 2024 VFR conditions are anticipated to rule through the TAF period at both terminals.. with ceilings confined above 10,000 ft AGL. Breezy (15-25 knot) north winds will prevail this afternoon. Winds will rapidly weaken an hour or two prior to sunset this evening.. becoming light/variable. Winds will remain light/ variable through the duration of the 18Z TAF period. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. CO...None. NE...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Vincent LONG TERM...Vincent AVIATION...Vincent