Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 161912
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
312 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

...Rain Chances Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
A cluster of thunderstorms could bring heavy rain across central
and lower Michigan tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are possible Monday afternoon as well.

MIZ037>039-043>045-170815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
312 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66 near Lake Michigan and around 72 Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 8
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.14 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....850-1410 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160-200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5000-5500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1260-1510 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-170815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
312 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.13 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....89-94.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1020-1570 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1540 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-170815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
312 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 5 AM. Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 7 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1500-2000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-320 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.88 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of showers and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6300-6800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....940-1420 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1300-1800
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160-170 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....89-94.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1260-1450 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-170815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
312 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-330 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.71 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....980 (excellent) increasing to 1550 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.28 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-210 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1210-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-170815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
312 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 10 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-310 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.60 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....920-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.31 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.20 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1390-1540 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds
5 to 6 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Southwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s.

$$