Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 230719
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
319 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

...Dry Today; More Rain Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...Brief high pressure today keeps conditions dry today,
then shower chances return Tuesday. Temperatures will peak in the low
70s today with min RH down to 50 percent near US-10, and to 60 to 80
percent near and south of I-96.


MIZ037>039-043>045-232015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
319 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....310-380 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.13 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.

Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.33 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-232015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
319 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-50 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.

Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170-190 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.31 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-232015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
319 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-320 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.17 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms until 5 PM.
                    Chance of rain showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....220-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.70 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-232015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
319 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....330-430 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2 PM, then rain showers likely and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.51 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-232015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
319 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-320 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....230-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.34-0.81 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph
shifting to the northwest up to 5 mph overnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds
5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds up to 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds 5 to
9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 6 to
11 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
70s.

$$