277
FXUS64 KHUN 191745
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1245 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of Today)
Issued at 944 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

The on-going forecast appears to be on track, as weak and broad
surface high pressure situated across the eastern third of the
CONUS controls the sensible weather. After a mild, and foggy start
in a few spots, area temperatures have risen into the low/mid
70s. Under generally sunny skies, a warm late summer day remains
in the forecast, with highs warming into the mid/upper 80s with
light winds. No changes were needed at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 215 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Through the short term forecast mid level ridging will build in
from the SW maintaining high pressure as the dominating weather
feature. This will support a gradual warming trend through the
weekend with highs building from the low 90s on Friday to the low
to mid 90s Saturday and Sunday. Continued subsidence from high
pressure will promote mostly clear skies and calm winds making
for a nice, if a little warm, weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 215 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

A slightly more active pattern will begin next week and an
low pressure system pushes east across the CONUS. The shift will
be gradual as the low pressure and associated front drifts
towards the area. Through the long term rain chances will slowly
build each day from about 10%-30% by Wednesday in response to the
approaching front. In turn this will result in slightly more cloud
cover and a gradual decrease in temps from the low 90s on Monday
to the mid 80s on Wednesday. Models have yet to converge on exact
details of the frontal passage regarding higher rain chances, have
maintained blended guidance for now with subsequent forecast
packages likely having a better idea as this moves into the short
term.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Surface high pressure over the region should continue producing
light winds at the terminals. Generally clear skies tonight along
with light winds could result in patchy fog forming in the
predawn. Confidence for fog is lower at KHSV than at KMSL. Any fog
that forms should dissipate shortly after sunrise Fri AM, with
VFR weather expected for the rest of the TAF.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...RSB
SHORT TERM....RAD
LONG TERM....RAD
AVIATION...RSB