Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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655
FXUS63 KICT 261729
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1229 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...Aviation Update...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather for at least the next 7-10 days.

- Near to above average temperatures for at least the next 7-10
  days, although cooler weather behind a strong cold front next
  Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Per deterministic and ensemble consensus, quiet and mostly dry
weather is anticipated for at least the next 7-10 days (if not
longer), as atmospheric heights remain above average across Mid-
America, and there are no big storm systems on the horizon impacting
the region.

All eyes will be on the remnants of Hurricane Helene the next few
days, as it interacts with a stalled upper low currently spinning
over the east-central CONUS. Model trends associated with this
interaction continue to keep rain chances east of the Kansas region.
Consequently, with the exception of possibly an isolated shower over
extreme eastern Kansas Friday and Friday night, rain is not expected
across Kansas with this system.

Furthermore, progged atmospheric thickness will support seasonable
temperatures to somewhat above average temperatures for most for at
least the next 7-10 days, with forecast highs mostly in the upper
70s and 80s. The only coolish day will likely be Tuesday in wake of
a strong cold front. This cool down should be short-lived though,
with readings back into upper 70s and 80s by Wednesday-Thursday of
next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the period with light and
variable winds near 5 kt.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...BB