Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
226 FNUS52 KILM 221912 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 312 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 .DISCUSSION... High pressure to generally prevail through mid week, especially near the coast. More unsettled weather should return late week as we see at least some fringe effects from low pressure tracking northward from the Gulf of Mexico. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-231115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 312 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0 30 Precip Type Showers None None Tstms LAL 1 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 67 84 66 84 Max/Min RH (%) 98 61 100 67 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var SE 4 Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.03 Precip Duration 0 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 6 AM Precip End 9 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 71/0900 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3200 Transport Wind (mph) E 8 S 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28000 32000 ADI Early 11 Poor 23 Fair 15 Gen Poor 23 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 30 Fair 4 Very Poor 26 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 8 6 9 Max LVORI Late 7 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F B F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-231115- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 312 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 40 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 3 Min/Max Temp 68 85 66 85 Max/Min RH (%) 100 63 100 67 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.09 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3200 Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28800 38400 ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 22 Fair 22 Fair 27 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 33 Fair 5 Very Poor 33 Fair Max LVORI Early 7 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 4 Fog 7 7 Turner Stability F B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-231115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 312 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 30 Precip Type None None Showers Tstms LAL 1 1 2 3 Min/Max Temp 68 87 69 86 Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 100 66 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/1000 1900 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 3500 Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36900 42000 ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 22 Fair 28 Fair 24 Fair ADI Late 4 Very Poor 39 Fair 5 Very Poor 35 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 9 8 9 Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 7 7 Turner Stability F B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 312 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 40 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 3 3 Min/Max Temp 67 88 69 87 Max/Min RH (%) 100 57 100 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.08 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/1000 1900 73/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 3900 Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42300 39000 ADI Early 21 Fair 21 Fair 33 Fair 26 Fair ADI Late 4 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 37 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 9 8 9 Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 4 Fog 7 7 Turner Stability F B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...VAO