Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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593
FNUS52 KILM 211857
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
257 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure sfc and aloft will dominate this weekend and into
the middle of next week. A mid-level impulse will pass just north
of the area late tonight and Sun with any pcpn remaining north of
the region. Otherwise looking at dry conditions and seasonable
temps this weekend into next week.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-221100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
257 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           87           65           84
Max/Min RH (%)        99           61           100          61
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         75/1000      1900         70/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4600                      3600
Transport Wind (mph)               W 10                      NE  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 46000                     32400
ADI Early             13 Gen Poor  30 Fair      13 Gen Poor  31 Fair
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI Early       6            7            6            8
Max LVORI Late        7            3            7            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
71 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-221100-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
257 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            10
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          64           88           66           84
Max/Min RH (%)        100          60           100          60
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                              0
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         74/1000      1900         70/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4300                      3600
Transport Wind (mph)               W  9                      NE  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 38700                     28800
ADI Early             14 Gen Poor  31 Fair      15 Gen Poor  29 Fair
ADI Late              5 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI Early       6            9            6            9
Max LVORI Late        8            2            8            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-221100-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
257 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          65           88           67           84
Max/Min RH (%)        98           60           98           61
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      W  4         Lgt/Var      E  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                              0
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         74/1000      1900         70/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4300                      3400
Transport Wind (mph)               NW  9                     E  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 38700                     27200
ADI Early             17 Gen Poor  32 Fair      16 Gen Poor  28 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  45 Gen Good  8 Poor       34 Fair
Max LVORI Early       5            7            6            7
Max LVORI Late        7            2            6            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-221100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
257 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          64           88           67           86
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           100          61
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         75/1000      1900         73/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4900                      3900
Transport Wind (mph)               W 10                      NE  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 49000                     35100
ADI Early             19 Gen Poor  22 Fair      19 Gen Poor  27 Fair
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI Early       6            9            6            9
Max LVORI Late        9            2            8            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-221100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
257 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          64           89           67           87
Max/Min RH (%)        100          52           100          58
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                              0
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         75/1000      1900         72/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5600                      4000
Transport Wind (mph)               NW  9                     E  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 50400                     36000
ADI Early             28 Fair      31 Fair      20 Gen Poor  27 Fair
ADI Late              5 Very Poor  55 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       6            8            6            9
Max LVORI Late        8            1            9            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-221100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
257 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          65           89           66           85
Max/Min RH (%)        98           56           100          60
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                              0
Precip Begin                                                 2 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         74/1000      1900         71/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    4700                      3400
Transport Wind (mph)               NW  9                     E  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 42300                     30600
ADI Early             18 Gen Poor  32 Fair      19 Gen Poor  26 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  47 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI Early       5            8            6            9
Max LVORI Late        7            2            8            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$