Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
313 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.DISCUSSION...
An isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm is possible Friday
before drier air moves in for the weekend. High pressure will
linger into the middle of next week keeping the region dry and
seasonable.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-202315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
313 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          86           62           84
Min/Max RH (%)        57           97           55
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        Lgt/Var      E  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  71/0900      1900         71/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4300                      5400
Transport Wind (mph)  NE 12                     NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    51600                     64800
ADI Early             38 Fair      15 Gen Poor  38 Fair
ADI Late              58 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  61 Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            6
Max LVORI Late        2            6            2
Min VSBY Early        3 Fog        7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
68 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-202315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
313 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          86           63           84
Min/Max RH (%)        56           99           55
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  70/0900      1900         71/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4100                      5000
Transport Wind (mph)  NE 10                     NE  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    41000                     40000
ADI Early             31 Fair      17 Gen Poor  28 Fair
ADI Late              50 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       9            6            8
Max LVORI Late        2            7            2
Min VSBY Early        3 Fog        7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-202315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
313 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          86           64           84
Min/Max RH (%)        58           98           54
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  4        Lgt/Var      E  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  71/0900      1900         72/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            4
DSI                   2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4300                      5400
Transport Wind (mph)  NE 10                     NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    43000                     54000
ADI Early             36 Fair      19 Gen Poor  42 Gen Good
ADI Late              49 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       9            6            7
Max LVORI Late        2            7            1
Min VSBY Early        3 Fog        7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-202315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
313 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          86           64           84
Min/Max RH (%)        56           99           54
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  70/0900      1900         71/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            4
DSI                   2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4300                      4900
Transport Wind (mph)  NE  9                     NE  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    38700                     39200
ADI Early             31 Fair      21 Fair      30 Fair
ADI Late              49 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       9            6            9
Max LVORI Late        2            8            2
Min VSBY Early        3 Fog        7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...III