Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
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737 FXUS64 KLCH 180836 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 336 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday night) Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 As has been the case over the last few mornings, areas of generally light ground fog has again developed across the region. This should dissipate no later than 14Z. Broad high pressure over much of the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico combined with upper level ridging building in from south Texas will keep skies generally clear. While the NBM keeps the entire area completely dry, several deterministic model runs do indicate some isolated convection developing along the Atchafalaya basin so opted to include 20 PoPs to account. The lack of cloud cover and precip will allow temperatures to climb into the the lower 90s this afternoon. The overall pattern isn`t progged to change much through the end of the week with near identical conditions expected both Thursday and Friday. Jones && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 The weekend is expected to remain hot and dry. A ridge aloft will slide east out of Northern Mexico and Texas and overhead deep SE TX and LA by Sunday afternoon. Temperatures are anticipated to run 2 to 5 degrees above climo norms for the date. Early to mid week the ridge will continue east across the northern gulf coast as a short wave digs into the plains. As the ridge departs the local area, a very modest increase in rain chances may occur. Extra cloud cover and afternoon convection may allow afternoon temperatures to decrease a couple degrees. 05 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1154 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024 VFR conditions with light and variable winds expected to prevail for most of the forecast period. Fog is possible overnight and whatever develops will burn off shortly after sunrise. Late tomorrow morning and afternoon, there is a chance of showers however confidence in location and timing is low, hence the exclusion of RA in the TAFs. Stigger/87 && .MARINE... Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024 High pressure will build into the region today. This ridge will bring about a prolonged period of warm, dry conditions with light winds and low seas. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 89 70 90 68 / 10 0 0 0 LCH 89 75 90 73 / 20 10 10 0 LFT 91 75 92 73 / 20 20 10 0 BPT 92 75 93 74 / 20 10 0 0 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...66 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...66