Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FNUS74 KLIX 051158
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for G-11 SW...USFWS
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
658 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

With the warm and humid Summer environment remaining in place,
thunderstorms will be possible each day, mostly in the afternoon.
Little change expected in afternoon minimum humidities from day
to day. Critical fire weather conditions are not anticipated
through the upcoming weekend.


...REMARKS...
1) what is the chance, intensity, and duration of fog possible
Wednesday night into Thursday morning? Less than 10% chance of
dense fog.

2) is there a chance of a sea breeze? No sea breeze expected, but
winds will establish a due south direction around 7am and
maintain this direction through the day outside any storm
influences.

3) What is the chance and confidence of thunderstorms over the
site from now until 1700? Chance is ~30% through 1700 today.
Confidence remains low with timing of thunderstorms.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the afternoon, then slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Dewpoint............75.
Max apparent temp...98.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...152-1006 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South around 6 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  50  55  39  42  48  50  45  44  43
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30  20  20
Temp............80  83  84  86  86  87  87  87  88  87
Dewpoint........76  76  75  75  76  75  76  75  75  74
RH..............88  80  74  70  72  68  70  68  66  65
Aparnt tmp (F)..86  91  92  95  96  96  98  96  98  95
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SSW S   SSW S   SSW SSW S
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.16  17  17  18  18  18  20  20  18  18
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  14  13  13  13  14  14
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW S   S
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 3 am, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Dewpoint............74.
Max apparent temp...95.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the west
                    around 5 mph early in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height (m)...152-914 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 14 mph shifting to the west
                    after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60  61  62  69  61  61  71  72  82  78  62  68
Weather cov.....SCH SCH                             SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW                              RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH                             SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  30  30
Temp............86  84  81  80  80  79  79  79  78  78  77  77
Dewpoint........75  75  75  75  75  75  75  75  74  74  74  73
RH..............70  74  82  85  85  88  88  88  88  88  90  87
Aparnt tmp (F)..95  92  87  85  85  79  79  79  78  78  77  77
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.18  16  16  16  16  15  15  14  14  14  13  13
Mix hgt (km)....0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
Transp wind spd.14  13  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  9   9
Trans wind dir..S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Dewpoint............75.
Max apparent temp...98.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height (m)...152-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 4 to 5 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.11 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  72  72  75  72  72  72  80  80  80  80  80
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50  50  50  50  50  50  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............77  76  78  80  82  84  86  87  88  88  89  88
Dewpoint........74  74  76  76  75  74  74  74  74  74  74  74
RH..............90  94  94  88  79  72  68  65  64  63  61  65
Aparnt tmp (F)..77  76  78  86  89  91  93  95  96  97  98  97
20 FT wind dir..WSW W   WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  13  12
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   12  12  12  12  12  12  10  10
Trans wind dir..WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W   W
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4
LVORI...........5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   3

$$
Forecaster...LISNEY
Requested by...David Stoesz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415637.0/LIX
.DELDT 06/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL paul_reynolds@fws.gov,hunter_edmundson@fws.gov,david_Stoesz@fws.gov