Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
711 FXUS65 KLKN 181021 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV Issued by National Weather Service Reno NV 321 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Cold this morning with lows below freezing over most of the region. Increasing clouds this afternoon over northern Elko county where isolated thunderstorms are possible, otherwise mostly sunny and dry across the remainder of northern and central NV. Low temperatures tonight into Wednesday morning will be a little warmer than this morning, though still around the freezing mark for many valley locations. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday night. A cold start to the day with low temperatures this morning below freezing for most of the region. Broad trough energy centers across the Pacific NW today with the southern tip of the trough clipping northern Elko county. Much of Elko county will see increasing clouds this afternoon, with isolated thunderstorms possible over portions of far northern Elko county. Otherwise, mostly sunny and dry today for the remainder of northern and all of central NV. Temperatures will be trending warmer today onward, however low temperatures tonight into Wednesday morning will remain below normal, with many valley locations hovering around the freezing mark. Clouds build in over the region Wednesday afternoon, however conditions remain dry. .LONG TERM...Thursday through next Tuesday. General southwesterly flow over the forecast area the bulk of the long term period as troughing dominates the upper pattern over the western U.S. Warming trend continues thru the weekend with temperatures indicated to moderate some early next week yet still remaining warm. Trough deepens Thursday allowing a more south- southwesterly flow aloft to bring high and mid level moisture into eastern Nevada. Weather looks to remain dry although increases in cloud cover will be noted. Trough progresses east Friday with a west-southwest flow regime settling back in over the Great Basin and weather remaining dry and benign. Warming trend continues thru the weekend as indicated with daytime high temperatures reaching the upper 80s to upper 90s. Winds will be light and mainly terrain driven thru Saturday with the typical afternoon breezes present. A deep upper low approaching the PacNW will increase winds across the region early next week but dry conditions look to prevail at this time. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions at all terminals today, with mostly sunny skies and light winds of 5-10 mph with gusts up to 15 mph possible. && .FIRE WEATHER... Isolated dry thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and early evening across the northern portions of zones 469 and 470. Otherwise, mostly sunny and dry today with relatively light winds of 5-10 mph gusting 10-15 mph. Well below normal temperatures this morning, with temperatures across the region trending warmer this afternoon into this weekend. && .HYDROLOGY... Cool temperatures today and tonight will slow the melting of the remaining high elevation snowpack. Temperatures trend warmer Wednesday into the weekend at which time the rate of snowmelt will increase. The Humboldt River near Battle Mountain is expected to continue to recede, likely dropping below the action stage of 8.5 feet sometime this morning. The Humboldt River at Comus is at 8.9 feet which is slightly above the action stage of 8.5 feet. The flow on the river is forecast to drop below action stage sometime on Friday. Wildhorse Reservoir remains at an elevated level, with little to no change expected through this weekend. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Frost Advisory until 8 AM PDT this morning ABOVE 1000 FEET in Humboldt County...Northeastern Nye County...Northern Lander County and Northern Eureka County...Northwestern Nye County. Hard Freeze Warning until 8 AM PDT this morning ABOVE 1000 FEET in Northern Elko County...Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range...South Central Elko County. Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM PDT Wednesday Northern Elko County...Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range... South Central Elko County...Southern Lander County and Southern Eureka County...Southwest Elko County...White Pine County. Freeze Warning until 8 AM PDT this morning ABOVE 1000 FEET in Southern Lander County and Southern Eureka County...Southwest Elko County...White Pine County. && $$ 99/99/99/99